NHL · resolved market
AHL: Lehigh Valley Phantoms vs. Charlotte Checkers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb6869b89f81f451d57ba653991c0a8c024530ad387195fcdd937b3b3723a4d12
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Charlotte Checkersof Lehigh Valley Phantoms, Charlotte Checkers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,446
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,446 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet's whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x56d4…9c57backed Charlotte Checkers | 57c | 2,969$1,705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,263.69 | 231 | 55%127 W · 104 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Lehigh Valley Phantoms | 43c | 1,137$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.02 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Lehigh Valley Phantoms | 42c | 590$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.8 | 514 | 52.3%269 W · 245 L | +17.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x009b…e769backed Lehigh Valley Phantoms | 43c | 434.88$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Charlotte Checkers | 60c | 222.92$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.17 | 162 | 35.2%57 W · 105 L | -9.3wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Lehigh Valley Phantoms | 43c | 222.33$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.6 | 339 | 50.1%170 W · 169 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Lehigh Valley Phantoms | 42c | 221$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.82 | 1,024 | 48.4%496 W · 528 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Lehigh Valley Phantoms | 43c | 186.04$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 565 | 53.6%303 W · 262 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed Lehigh Valley Phantoms | 40c | 182.92$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.17 | 175 | 53.1%93 W · 82 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Lehigh Valley Phantoms | 41c | 97.84$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 366 | 52.7%193 W · 173 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Charlotte Checkers | 59c | 91.59$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.55 | 519 | 49.5%257 W · 262 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Charlotte Checkers | 59c | 70$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 497 | 47.9%238 W · 259 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Lehigh Valley Phantoms | 43c | 58$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.94 | 538 | 49.4%266 W · 272 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c15…45a0backed Lehigh Valley Phantoms | 42c | 41$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.23 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa049…4314backed Lehigh Valley Phantoms | 42c | 40$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3123…b44dbacked Lehigh Valley Phantoms | 40c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 144 | 45.8%66 W · 78 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde67…a253backed Lehigh Valley Phantoms | 43c | 33.53$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.42 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -5.0wins | -0.18per pick | 54cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…4eb8backed Charlotte Checkers | 61c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 116 | 55.2%64 W · 52 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
- The position was at least $10.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.