TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Western Carolina Catamounts vs. Samford Bulldogs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Samford Bulldogsof Western Carolina Catamounts, Samford Bulldogs
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$27,430
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$28,313

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,430 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3f08…ed44backed Samford Bulldogs44c4,028$1,760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,268.2446446.8%217 W · 247 L+6.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Samford Bulldogs70c3,500$2,433 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,067.52,89650%1,448 W · 1,448 L+71.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Western Carolina Catamounts27c2,290$617 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$616.7812,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Western Carolina Catamounts72c1,876$1,358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,358.291,88745.2%853 W · 1,034 L+6.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Samford Bulldogs75c1,383$1,042 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$341.161,39144.1%613 W · 778 L-10.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Western Carolina Catamounts33c1,343$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$440.34,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Western Carolina Catamounts48c1,137$541 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$540.675,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3da4…28d7backed Western Carolina Catamounts58c1,133$658 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$657.9615861.4%97 W · 61 L+7.7wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+0.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x89f3…dfffbacked Samford Bulldogs28c1,026$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$737.831,17325.2%296 W · 877 L-43.0wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-21.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x20ae…f107backed Samford Bulldogs29c722.91$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$515.4142327.2%115 W · 308 L-10.9wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Samford Bulldogs44c562.86$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314.4164647.5%307 W · 339 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Samford Bulldogs22c464.17$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$362.344,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed Samford Bulldogs68c386.77$262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.1349746.5%231 W · 266 L+0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x49ed…a2fbbacked Samford Bulldogs68c357$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.2412846.9%60 W · 68 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Western Carolina Catamounts30c292.99$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.745,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Western Carolina Catamounts29c253.29$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.662,04832.7%670 W · 1,378 L-16.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Western Carolina Catamounts53c251.89$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.442,00353.7%1,076 W · 927 L+101.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Western Carolina Catamounts62c212$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.471,95145.1%880 W · 1,071 L-19.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Western Carolina Catamounts55c203$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.651,53150.1%767 W · 764 L+34.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32d6…844bbacked Samford Bulldogs74c172$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.727060%42 W · 28 L+6.5wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+17.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf3d8…c8c0backed Samford Bulldogs74c163$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.385942.4%25 W · 34 L-5.2wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-22.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Western Carolina Catamounts66c123$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.3661446.1%283 W · 331 L-8.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-17.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Western Carolina Catamounts30c123$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.960548.9%296 W · 309 L+10.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Samford Bulldogs72c116.99$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.763,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x57d5…0bbdbacked Samford Bulldogs36c115.48$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.7957335.6%204 W · 369 L-27.3wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-20.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Western Carolina Catamounts30c112$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.62,57947.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L-42.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Samford Bulldogs39c107.08$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.612,12450.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Western Carolina Catamounts77c89.26$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.793,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x28a2…91a4backed Samford Bulldogs74c80$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.88756.3%49 W · 38 L+3.8wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3bec…6997backed Samford Bulldogs74c72$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.724052.5%21 W · 19 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee20…5b37backed Samford Bulldogs57c71.52$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.7519050.5%96 W · 94 L+15.7wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+19.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x68e0…a3a6backed Samford Bulldogs74c70$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.27244.4%32 W · 40 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-3.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd77d…b01cbacked Western Carolina Catamounts33c60.61$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2018851.6%97 W · 91 L+6.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3ca0…7ebebacked Samford Bulldogs74c57$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.824748.9%23 W · 24 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf447…3fe7backed Western Carolina Catamounts26c49$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.742748.1%13 W · 14 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4889…9b17backed Western Carolina Catamounts26c49$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.742860.7%17 W · 11 L+3.1wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+22.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5253…b898backed Western Carolina Catamounts26c48$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.482650%13 W · 13 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked Samford Bulldogs30c47.9$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.519412.8%12 W · 82 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick17cpaid-44.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfacf…e97abacked Western Carolina Catamounts26c43$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.182568%17 W · 8 L+4.1wins+0.17per pick51cpaid+26.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x95c4…a93bbacked Western Carolina Catamounts26c43$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.183063.3%19 W · 11 L+3.4wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+16.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Western Carolina Catamounts27c42.87$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.571,63347.3%773 W · 860 L+25.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f40…600dbacked Western Carolina Catamounts32c41.6$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.143450%17 W · 17 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a23…97a7backed Samford Bulldogs69c30.81$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.6621535.3%76 W · 139 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Western Carolina Catamounts74c30$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.11,00355.3%555 W · 448 L+46.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+1.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xec6c…23c7backed Western Carolina Catamounts49c29.27$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.4238343.6%167 W · 216 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x648c…c77ebacked Samford Bulldogs55c24$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.83850%4 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e2c…787cbacked Samford Bulldogs72c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.622552.9%119 W · 106 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfc8f…3782backed Western Carolina Catamounts57c18.19$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.3466831.4%210 W · 458 L-43.1wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-23%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.