Fifa International · resolved market
Will Spain win on 2026-03-27?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb6f3e0f785ec18339d0f4a5657bd458a651e34a4c1471f8067482473cf263446
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $167,330
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $224,037
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $167,330 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xad94…85b1backed No | 16c | 16,867$2,699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,698.65 | 76 | 30.3%23 W · 53 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 11c | 15,921$1,798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,798.19 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 15c | 13,174$1,995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,995.37 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 3c | 7,822$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.29 | 465 | 36.1%168 W · 297 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 15c | 4,615$683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$682.52 | 368 | 50.3%185 W · 183 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35a6…cb8fbacked No | 16c | 4,135$662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$661.6 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -3.9wins | -0.12per pick | 39cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 8c | 3,552$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.27 | 740 | 34.1%252 W · 488 L | -36.1wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3a…020bbacked No | 15c | 3,462$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.27 | 213 | 43.2%92 W · 121 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4afb…ed2bbacked No | 15c | 3,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.99 | 90 | 48.9%44 W · 46 L | +7.9wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked No | 15c | 2,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.98 | 78 | 59%46 W · 32 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 8c | 1,993$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.05 | 293 | 43%126 W · 167 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 16c | 1,469$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.8 | 550 | 45.1%248 W · 302 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 13c | 1,461$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.92 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 16c | 800$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 214 | 44.9%96 W · 118 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd50f…4034backed No | 15c | 692$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.8 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 12c | 556.46$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.31 | 459 | 47.7%219 W · 240 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 16c | 513.13$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.29 | 371 | 44.5%165 W · 206 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed No | 10c | 350$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 326 | 29.1%95 W · 231 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 14c | 308.89$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.25 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked No | 14c | 300$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 407 | 36.6%149 W · 258 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a8…a3d3backed No | 16c | 249.96$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.99 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e0b…d6c6backed No | 16c | 243.01$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.66 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdae3…cf78backed No | 17c | 235.29$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 38 | 26.3%10 W · 28 L | -3.7wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 16c | 232.05$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.97 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x723a…583fbacked No | 7c | 228.57$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 7c | 206$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.42 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed No | 12c | 201.28$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.86 | 237 | 51.1%121 W · 116 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b6…4587backed No | 17c | 197.53$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.58 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked No | 16c | 186.18$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.58 | 101 | 53.5%54 W · 47 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 6c | 176$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed No | 16c | 165.19$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.43 | 149 | 48.3%72 W · 77 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa43a…8b10backed No | 16c | 164.75$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.36 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2502…87e5backed No | 15c | 160.35$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1966…da9ebacked No | 16c | 160$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.6 | 82 | 37.8%31 W · 51 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked No | 17c | 149.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 396 | 21%83 W · 313 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed No | 16c | 146.49$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.44 | 72 | 36.1%26 W · 46 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x740d…9967backed No | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 19cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf4f…63f3backed No | 16c | 123.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b9b…23cabacked No | 17c | 105.88$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x741c…bf80backed No | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.17per pick | 23cpaid | -82%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed No | 16c | 93.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.02 | 864 | 55.3%478 W · 386 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xada1…738dbacked No | 17c | 71.05$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3edb…aa1ebacked No | 16c | 70$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed No | 15c | 69.7$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.36 | 341 | 44.3%151 W · 190 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ce5…af2ebacked No | 17c | 67.18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.42 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | -5.7wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 15c | 67$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 167 | 55.1%92 W · 75 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed No | 16c | 63.11$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 508 | 50%254 W · 254 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb7c…82f2backed No | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 51 | 27.5%14 W · 37 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f02…5e77backed No | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Spain win on 2026-03-27?this page
- Will Serbia win on 2026-03-27?No won
- Will Spain vs. Serbia end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.