Tennis · resolved market
Metepec: Gijs Brouwer vs Bernard Tomic
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb71303eae2ae71b48ea2ac1643a031a151f6c05a1c81107adc0dd0343d3f8664
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Tomicof Brouwer, Tomic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,903
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,157
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,903 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8082…4d66backed Tomic | 65c | 2,384$1,549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$835.15 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Brouwer | 38c | 2,316$884 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$884.17 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf988…f5f6backed Brouwer | 61c | 1,520$927 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$926.94 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.16per pick | 62cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6884…517cbacked Brouwer | 16c | 1,200$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Tomic | 57c | 1,097$624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473.78 | 1,973 | 46.3%914 W · 1,059 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8816…7738backed Tomic | 64c | 1,094$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.37 | 1,106 | 50.3%556 W · 550 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Tomic | 55c | 1,071$594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476.9 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc44…e036backed Tomic | 61c | 959.4$589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.97 | 115 | 60%69 W · 46 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Brouwer | 38c | 750$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Brouwer | 34c | 684.45$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.39 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Tomic | 64c | 408.54$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.72 | 1,809 | 43.8%793 W · 1,016 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89fd…da5dbacked Tomic | 62c | 362.36$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.28 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe026…2b3abacked Brouwer | 61c | 327.87$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 503 | 64.6%325 W · 178 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x237e…a5f0backed Tomic | 63c | 318.62$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.62 | 199 | 38.2%76 W · 123 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf54c…e6ccbacked Brouwer | 39c | 199.99$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 60 | 25%15 W · 45 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7f…e826backed Brouwer | 66c | 189.39$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 693 | 50.5%350 W · 343 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…d11fbacked Brouwer | 38c | 166.62$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.32 | 88 | 53.4%47 W · 41 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Brouwer | 44c | 153.48$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.06 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f1d…f11bbacked Tomic | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 96 | 63.5%61 W · 35 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Brouwer | 34c | 147.03$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 1,768 | 43.2%764 W · 1,004 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08c1…7fbebacked Brouwer | 50c | 140.7$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 282 | 47.9%135 W · 147 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Brouwer | 39c | 130$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.7 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Brouwer | 33c | 122.94$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.88 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x276b…add4backed Brouwer | 55c | 108.23$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa2…1973backed Brouwer | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 212 | 43.9%93 W · 119 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Brouwer | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 1,212 | 33.1%401 W · 811 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22ea…0d10backed Tomic | 35c | 85.71$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.71 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Tomic | 60c | 76$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.1 | 990 | 44.8%444 W · 546 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Tomic | 56c | 75.97$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.37 | 884 | 55%486 W · 398 L | +37.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ac…5e19backed Brouwer | 66c | 75.76$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 219 | 57.1%125 W · 94 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd52…07aabacked Tomic | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.63 | 167 | 62.9%105 W · 62 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb10b…ec5ebacked Brouwer | 56c | 70.4$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.42 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Brouwer | 43c | 63.17$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.28 | 925 | 48.8%451 W · 474 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e48…6fd3backed Tomic | 35c | 60$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +2.7wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed Brouwer | 38c | 59.08$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.45 | 302 | 54.3%164 W · 138 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70f9…f25bbacked Tomic | 53c | 56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.32 | 990 | 56%554 W · 436 L | +32.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x166c…93ecbacked Brouwer | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc5…d36ebacked Tomic | 64c | 50.69$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.25 | 180 | 44.4%80 W · 100 L | -11.4wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Brouwer | 38c | 49$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.62 | 275 | 39.6%109 W · 166 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x751b…90fbbacked Tomic | 62c | 49$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.62 | 207 | 58%120 W · 87 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Brouwer | 33c | 47.64$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.72 | 1,240 | 41.2%511 W · 729 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbebf…9baebacked Tomic | 66c | 45.73$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.73 | 908 | 54.5%495 W · 413 L | +21.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Tomic | 66c | 45.45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.45 | 398 | 50%199 W · 199 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bec…37d3backed Brouwer | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 142 | 72.5%103 W · 39 L | +9.5wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Tomic | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4712…5bd6backed Tomic | 69c | 28.91$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.91 | 144 | 75%108 W · 36 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b41…01c7backed Tomic | 45c | 26.68$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.68 | 55 | 21.8%12 W · 43 L | -5.9wins | -0.11per pick | 32cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Tomic | 67c | 20.07$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.62 | 580 | 67.8%393 W · 187 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61af…aa01backed Tomic | 67c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 333 | 64.9%216 W · 117 L | -19.4wins | -0.06per pick | 71cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf69b…d240backed Tomic | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 169 | 59.2%100 W · 69 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.