CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: QUB vs Eternal Fire Academy (BO3) - United21 Group A
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb738361c71a27aa82d04ca2e17c1db4ac2b4ea8cfdd724b6022d3a1fcff98079
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- QUBof QUB, Eternal Fire Academy
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,304
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,483
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,304 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdecf…2957backed Eternal Fire Academy | 35c | 727.26$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.34 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcce…c920backed Eternal Fire Academy | 69c | 386.69$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.14 | 170 | 60.6%103 W · 67 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e4…dd38backed QUB | 75c | 328.42$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.16 | 343 | 56.6%194 W · 149 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee83…bc59backed QUB | 65c | 328$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.11 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +4.6wins | +0.23per pick | 47cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…787cbacked Eternal Fire Academy | 24c | 297.16$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.55 | 726 | 44.4%322 W · 404 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Eternal Fire Academy | 27c | 185$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.3 | 2,454 | 34.4%845 W · 1,609 L | -189.3wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked QUB | 36c | 160$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.2 | 2,599 | 47.8%1,242 W · 1,357 L | -30.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed QUB | 52c | 154.87$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.94 | 4,040 | 50.9%2,057 W · 1,983 L | +71.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked QUB | 73c | 130.26$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.24 | 5,474 | 46.9%2,565 W · 2,909 L | +38.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Eternal Fire Academy | 27c | 129.62$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.3 | 3,415 | 29.3%1,001 W · 2,414 L | -275.1wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked QUB | 65c | 121.98$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.87 | 1,318 | 51.7%682 W · 636 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Eternal Fire Academy | 36c | 119$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.41 | 3,888 | 36.6%1,423 W · 2,465 L | -197.3wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Eternal Fire Academy | 30c | 115$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.3 | 1,546 | 33.8%523 W · 1,023 L | -73.9wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked QUB | 60c | 99$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.76 | 3,165 | 45.7%1,446 W · 1,719 L | -74.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Eternal Fire Academy | 25c | 75.74$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.1 | 2,467 | 24.6%606 W · 1,861 L | -318.3wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked Eternal Fire Academy | 18c | 60$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2,084 | 47%979 W · 1,105 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed QUB | 71c | 41.82$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.18 | 1,606 | 46.8%752 W · 854 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked QUB | 73c | 35$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.35 | 7,892 | 50.5%3,983 W · 3,909 L | +182.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3546…1a58backed QUB | 36c | 34.72$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.22 | 232 | 26.3%61 W · 171 L | -15.3wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x70a0…2dc3backed QUB | 36c | 34.72$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.22 | 176 | 26.1%46 W · 130 L | -10.7wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked QUB | 65c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 2,770 | 37.4%1,036 W · 1,734 L | -139.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed QUB | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 2,491 | 41.1%1,023 W · 1,468 L | -114.2wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: QUB vs Eternal Fire Academy (BO3) - United21 Group Athis page
- Counter-Strike: QUB vs Eternal Fire Academy - Map 1 WinnerQUB won
- Counter-Strike: QUB vs Eternal Fire Academy - Map 2 WinnerQUB won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.