NHL · resolved market
Flames vs. Panthers: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb7cbd9798bb7c2584acbe92e171c80b71a430c72dad2d708bbb490b1514c2e5a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,452
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,948
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,452 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3850…c4b4backed Over | 53c | 5,000$2,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,350 | 103 | 52.4%54 W · 49 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 47c | 3,045$1,426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,426.09 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Under | 47c | 2,198$1,033 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,033.06 | 574 | 53.8%309 W · 265 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5672…5019backed Over | 54c | 1,852$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$851.85 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 54c | 937$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.02 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Under | 47c | 501.89$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.89 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Under | 46c | 500$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 759 | 46.6%354 W · 405 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Over | 53c | 500$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235 | 288 | 42%121 W · 167 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Under | 46c | 444$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.24 | 495 | 46.5%230 W · 265 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Over | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 384 | 45.8%176 W · 208 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x336a…1915backed Under | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked Under | 46c | 173$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.58 | 376 | 49.7%187 W · 189 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Under | 47c | 157$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.79 | 874 | 47%411 W · 463 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed Under | 46c | 138$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.48 | 232 | 49.1%114 W · 118 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4215…f03abacked Under | 47c | 102$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.43 | 98 | 53.1%52 W · 46 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Under | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 510 | 45.5%232 W · 278 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18de…0b64backed Over | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49ab…f2a9backed Under | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 198 | 44.4%88 W · 110 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Under | 46c | 69$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.74 | 792 | 51.1%405 W · 387 L | +21.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Under | 46c | 51$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.46 | 583 | 46.5%271 W · 312 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Under | 46c | 51$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.46 | 605 | 49.3%298 W · 307 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Under | 46c | 43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.78 | 295 | 50.2%148 W · 147 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Over | 48c | 38.46$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 695 | 50.1%348 W · 347 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…0ababacked Under | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | -6.5wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Under | 46c | 34$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.64 | 481 | 49.3%237 W · 244 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Under | 46c | 34$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.64 | 291 | 47.4%138 W · 153 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Under | 46c | 34$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.64 | 418 | 51.4%215 W · 203 L | +14.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Under | 46c | 34$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.64 | 472 | 49.2%232 W · 240 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed Under | 46c | 30.68$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.22 | 263 | 48.7%128 W · 135 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed Over | 51c | 28.47$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.95 | 836 | 52.8%441 W · 395 L | +28.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 47c | 28$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.16 | 1,530 | 51.7%791 W · 739 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3346…6bc3backed Under | 49c | 23.47$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.18per pick | 48cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Flames vs. Panthers: O/U 5.5this page
- Flames vs. PanthersFlames won
- Spread: Panthers (-1.5)Flames won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.