MLB · resolved market
KBO: SSG Landers vs. NC Dinos
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb80b2595892aa98d0f5fde14b40129de4f55869aaa33c593820877450b81559d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- NC Dinosof SSG Landers, NC Dinos
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,790
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,797
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,790 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed SSG Landers | 42c | 547.9$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.12 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked NC Dinos | 58c | 336.12$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.17 | 208 | 48.1%100 W · 108 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed NC Dinos | 58c | 270$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.4 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed NC Dinos | 62c | 220.23$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.86 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed SSG Landers | 42c | 213.59$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.71 | 1,168 | 49%572 W · 596 L | +17.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed NC Dinos | 64c | 209.32$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.27 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcab…b9bbbacked SSG Landers | 36c | 154.12$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.08 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1df6…cba0backed SSG Landers | 33c | 144$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.82 | 1,445 | 50.3%727 W · 718 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5471…a236backed SSG Landers | 40c | 69.93$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.71 | 108 | 47.2%51 W · 57 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf213…a627backed SSG Landers | 45c | 69.51$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.28 | 689 | 42.2%291 W · 398 L | +18.7wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed SSG Landers | 23c | 57.67$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 946 | 55.3%523 W · 423 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed NC Dinos | 78c | 54.17$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.92 | 873 | 52.7%460 W · 413 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed SSG Landers | 68c | 43.16$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 777 | 52.1%405 W · 372 L | +36.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked NC Dinos | 57c | 39.53$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked NC Dinos | 76c | 39.25$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.42 | 1,912 | 53%1,014 W · 898 L | +42.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cee…0d1ebacked SSG Landers | 43c | 33.69$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.49 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x75e2…2ed0backed NC Dinos | 61c | 31.64$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.34 | 188 | 52.7%99 W · 89 L | -10.4wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked SSG Landers | 43c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed NC Dinos | 57c | 25.26$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.86 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed NC Dinos | 56c | 21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.24 | 217 | 48.4%105 W · 112 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50a3…4310backed NC Dinos | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.