Tennis · resolved market
Jiangxi Open: Camila Osorio vs Elisabetta Cocciaretto
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb8bbd31740812b06ecf0b6bffab2b76a66243dfac2e1253debc7cd03dedf7859
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cocciarettoof Osorio, Cocciaretto
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,692
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,533
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,692 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Osorio | 0c | 6,032$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.88 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60cd…a1b6backed Osorio | 32c | 3,786$1,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,230.25 | 56 | 30.4%17 W · 39 L | -4.2wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Cocciaretto | 63c | 911.96$571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.72 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Osorio | 39c | 707.94$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.94 | 576 | 45.5%262 W · 314 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad1e…6b90backed Cocciaretto | 78c | 688.01$538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.99 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Cocciaretto | 50c | 650.9$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.45 | 551 | 43.4%239 W · 312 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Cocciaretto | 50c | 650$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325 | 168 | 25%42 W · 126 L | -14.2wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Osorio | 45c | 624.57$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.01 | 1,655 | 50.1%829 W · 826 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Cocciaretto | 69c | 551.34$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.52 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa844…7d5fbacked Cocciaretto | 71c | 509.62$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.17 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.16per pick | 59cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Osorio | 52c | 499.99$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 819 | 38.9%319 W · 500 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb7…082dbacked Cocciaretto | 60c | 400$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 81 | 48.1%39 W · 42 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5c…48f9backed Cocciaretto | 46c | 326.09$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.09 | 154 | 47.4%73 W · 81 L | +14.1wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xade8…b0bdbacked Cocciaretto | 73c | 322.96$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.25 | 158 | 32.3%51 W · 107 L | -13.6wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2ba0…ff3abacked Cocciaretto | 51c | 194.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.87 | 431 | 58.2%251 W · 180 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb41c…ab82backed Cocciaretto | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bf4…952ebacked Cocciaretto | 51c | 180$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.2 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…fd7fbacked Cocciaretto | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 38 | 65.8%25 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9354…6502backed Osorio | 33c | 130.78$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.85 | 755 | 47.8%361 W · 394 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f27…781dbacked Cocciaretto | 79c | 126.65$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.65 | 23 | 78.3%18 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 76cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Cocciaretto | 52c | 124.61$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.61 | 1,258 | 50%629 W · 629 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8fd…78b2backed Osorio | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -16%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd08…0635backed Cocciaretto | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 704 | 65.2%459 W · 245 L | +29.1wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9bdb…a90dbacked Osorio | 58c | 100$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 269 | 21.2%57 W · 212 L | -10.2wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9437…f42dbacked Osorio | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb9…3783backed Cocciaretto | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 228 | 40.4%92 W · 136 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e0b…cd84backed Osorio | 48c | 65.71$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.54 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Osorio | 23c | 57$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.27 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c63…a2f9backed Osorio | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc256…aba2backed Cocciaretto | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 67 | 59.7%40 W · 27 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14df…b23dbacked Cocciaretto | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde4b…ac11backed Osorio | 51c | 29.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.