Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb8d2f491757e4948ba9be8f7e194a726197093495b1d7ad6764b4e24b8f47e7f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,584
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,873
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,584 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1ede…2de3backed Over | 49c | 644.82$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.46 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdc…9da2backed Under | 14c | 305$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.7 | 107 | 56.1%60 W · 47 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa1a…d9abbacked Under | 57c | 246.11$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24da…9561backed Under | 51c | 243.25$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.07 | 44 | 34.1%15 W · 29 L | -3.6wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d11…9d09backed Over | 80c | 185$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.24per pick | 39cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x368d…d853backed Under | 39c | 180$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.1 | 179 | 42.5%76 W · 103 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93f9…e350backed Over | 67c | 173.59$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.29 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e66…921dbacked Under | 52c | 144$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.88 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44b8…a2d7backed Over | 43c | 139.53$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.53 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +6.5wins | +0.14per pick | 42cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4047…7293backed Under | 57c | 139.53$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.53 | 235 | 47.7%112 W · 123 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked Over | 48c | 130$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.03 | 563 | 17.2%97 W · 466 L | -16.4wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f9…5526backed Under | 52c | 106.96$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.62 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -3.5wins | -0.35per pick | 45cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…2c8bbacked Under | 58c | 100$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 323 | 45.8%148 W · 175 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…eba1backed Under | 52c | 97.92$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.92 | 1,517 | 3.3%50 W · 1,467 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 7cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f2c…ac5ebacked Under | 51c | 79$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.29 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3c…93d7backed Under | 26c | 70$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 91 | 51.6%47 W · 44 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 30c | 62.08$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.48 | 540 | 54.3%293 W · 247 L | +26.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6132…7665backed Under | 52c | 53$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.56 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +83.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Over | 44c | 49.99$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 112 | 45.5%51 W · 61 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaad7…5557backed Over | 43c | 44.18$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.18 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cf9…1abfbacked Under | 52c | 41$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.32 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49ec…c4e5backed Under | 52c | 35$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.28per pick | 43cpaid | +116.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xecd6…d4dfbacked Over | 48c | 35$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa029…c912backed Over | 48c | 34$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.68 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Over | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 955 | 51.7%494 W · 461 L | -12.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28a2…91a4backed Under | 52c | 33$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.16 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7197…14c8backed Under | 66c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…bdecbacked Over | 49c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaebc…bb17backed Over | 48c | 29$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.08 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +90.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb665…95a8backed Over | 48c | 28$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.56 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +21%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f53…1ddcbacked Over | 48c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.48 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb75…bc16backed Over | 48c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.48 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 51cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaacc…23c6backed Over | 48c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.48 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x194f…81b6backed Over | 48c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.48 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2614…1000backed Over | 48c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.48 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb7…8745backed Over | 48c | 23$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59eb…fa33backed Under | 56c | 21.71$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.16 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -3.3wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7602…2775backed Under | 53c | 19.04$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.09 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3)Weibo Gaming won
- LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 WinnerBilibili Gaming won
- LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 WinnerWeibo Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.