Tennis · resolved market
ITF Wuning: Yidi Yang vs Yufei Ren
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb8d8850324f3b872de2268033d45e125ea5d4970883cf51af517d682622b0259
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yufei Renof Yidi Yang, Yufei Ren
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,083
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,372
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,083 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet's whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yidi Yang | 18c | 8,279$1,452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,452.3 | 6,798 | 36.9%2,507 W · 4,291 L | -98.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Yidi Yang | 36c | 1,930$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 1,615 | 50.6%817 W · 798 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Yufei Ren | 49c | 1,661$807 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$853.77 | 3,905 | 35%1,368 W · 2,537 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48de…95babacked Yufei Ren | 47c | 1,252$593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$659.32 | 630 | 45.4%286 W · 344 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d74…f2abbacked Yidi Yang | 51c | 909.53$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463.86 | 433 | 34.9%151 W · 282 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yidi Yang | 11c | 778.07$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.24 | 8,241 | 45.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L | +166.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Yufei Ren | 80c | 465.51$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.97 | 1,228 | 41.1%505 W · 723 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Yidi Yang | 45c | 400.2$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.09 | 7,157 | 39.8%2,848 W · 4,309 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57fe…13c1backed Yufei Ren | 49c | 326.75$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.43 | 100 | 44%44 W · 56 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yidi Yang | 20c | 326$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.7 | 2,090 | 52.2%1,091 W · 999 L | +17.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd94f…ee62backed Yidi Yang | 63c | 313.28$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Yidi Yang | 21c | 313$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.92 | 1,863 | 41.1%765 W · 1,098 L | -32.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5ec…23bdbacked Yufei Ren | 77c | 300$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 167 | 69.5%116 W · 51 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf01f…e8fbbacked Yidi Yang | 23c | 300$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 264 | 26.9%71 W · 193 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Yidi Yang | 19c | 286$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.51 | 1,349 | 49.8%672 W · 677 L | -6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Yufei Ren | 49c | 268$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.68 | 7,791 | 47.8%3,722 W · 4,069 L | +39.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Yufei Ren | 63c | 238.19$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.26 | 2,804 | 53.7%1,505 W · 1,299 L | +71.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c88…5463backed Yufei Ren | 55c | 227.6$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.6 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x88ed…8300backed Yufei Ren | 55c | 209.47$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.47 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yufei Ren | 80c | 201.73$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.35 | 6,898 | 48.9%3,374 W · 3,524 L | +61.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yidi Yang | 20c | 174.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 47 | 27.7%13 W · 34 L | -5.1wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Yidi Yang | 48c | 171.96$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.39 | 653 | 46.4%303 W · 350 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yidi Yang | 13c | 127.53$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.71 | 4,523 | 51.7%2,340 W · 2,183 L | +135.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7a5…0a49backed Yufei Ren | 46c | 103.04$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.24 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +6.5wins | +0.27per pick | 36cpaid | +126%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x9888…e6febacked Yidi Yang | 39c | 102.87$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.61 | 2,447 | 45.9%1,123 W · 1,324 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yidi Yang | 18c | 86.55$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.94 | 1,870 | 16%299 W · 1,571 L | -314.3wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Yufei Ren | 56c | 79.48$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.17 | 1,772 | 52.1%923 W · 849 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2965…0dedbacked Yidi Yang | 41c | 78.74$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.14 | 585 | 39.5%231 W · 354 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yufei Ren | 74c | 66.38$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.54 | 8,921 | 42.6%3,799 W · 5,122 L | -169.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf504…0111backed Yufei Ren | 78c | 57.37$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.85 | 1,136 | 56.7%644 W · 492 L | +53.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0813…41e1backed Yufei Ren | 54c | 44.88$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.64 | 371 | 58.8%218 W · 153 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Yidi Yang | 56c | 44.11$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.7 | 1,880 | 48.5%912 W · 968 L | +8.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yidi Yang | 46c | 37$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.02 | 1,229 | 53.1%653 W · 576 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Yidi Yang | 37c | 37$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.55 | 1,174 | 51.9%609 W · 565 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e62…fd00backed Yidi Yang | 44c | 31.57$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 203 | 47.3%96 W · 107 L | -14.1wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Yufei Ren | 58c | 27.78$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.73 | 1,629 | 49%798 W · 831 L | -51.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9081…8a6ebacked Yufei Ren | 73c | 27.39$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 417 | 68.1%284 W · 133 L | -21.4wins | -0.05per pick | 73cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Yidi Yang | 45c | 27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.15 | 1,794 | 60.2%1,080 W · 714 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee84…becbbacked Yidi Yang | 49c | 25.84$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.63 | 239 | 42.7%102 W · 137 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9565…ec9abacked Yufei Ren | 76c | 24.04$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.81 | 180 | 38.3%69 W · 111 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Yidi Yang | 52c | 22.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.95 | 751 | 46.1%346 W · 405 L | -30.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
- The position was at least $10.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.