Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Tennessee Volunteers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb9334dbef56742edec872bb520f898ea7b1ef6c97df97ce0ed07f31d5e6a688b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Illinois Fighting Illiniof Illinois Fighting Illini, Tennessee Volunteers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $38,990
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $40,745
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,990 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1e3a…4033backed Illinois Fighting Illini | 60c | 16,800$10,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,789.99 | 116 | 62.1%72 W · 44 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Tennessee Volunteers | 40c | 15,908$6,419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,418.53 | 691 | 42.8%296 W · 395 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Illinois Fighting Illini | 43c | 5,500$2,365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,135 | 285 | 39.6%113 W · 172 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Tennessee Volunteers | 57c | 3,318$1,891 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,891.16 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a38…8fb5backed Illinois Fighting Illini | 44c | 3,000$1,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,680 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +116.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Tennessee Volunteers | 56c | 2,464$1,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,380 | 354 | 52.3%185 W · 169 L | +17.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Tennessee Volunteers | 43c | 1,638$712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$712.2 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Tennessee Volunteers | 56c | 1,500$845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$845 | 557 | 49.2%274 W · 283 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Tennessee Volunteers | 57c | 1,200$684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$683.99 | 141 | 50.4%71 W · 70 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Tennessee Volunteers | 55c | 646.98$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.97 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Tennessee Volunteers | 56c | 535.71$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1,231 | 47%578 W · 653 L | -17.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Illinois Fighting Illini | 43c | 533.9$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.43 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Illinois Fighting Illini | 45c | 300$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 294 | 44.6%131 W · 163 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6723…a540backed Tennessee Volunteers | 56c | 265.56$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.34 | 56 | 62.5%35 W · 21 L | +4.9wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Tennessee Volunteers | 49c | 254$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.38 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Illinois Fighting Illini | 54c | 250.76$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.69 | 456 | 44.5%203 W · 253 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50bb…9aa6backed Illinois Fighting Illini | 43c | 250$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.5 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ad9…e466backed Illinois Fighting Illini | 44c | 249.99$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.99 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Illinois Fighting Illini | 55c | 248.73$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.05 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Illinois Fighting Illini | 53c | 220$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.45 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Tennessee Volunteers | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 391 | 44.5%174 W · 217 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Illinois Fighting Illini | 43c | 200$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaff5…5e4dbacked Tennessee Volunteers | 45c | 199.5$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Illinois Fighting Illini | 64c | 180$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.8 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Illinois Fighting Illini | 51c | 178.8$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.63 | 1,173 | 25.2%296 W · 877 L | -43.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5384…9d80backed Tennessee Volunteers | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Tennessee Volunteers | 51c | 143.8$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.65 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Tennessee Volunteers | 37c | 116.18$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.29 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02ec…5412backed Tennessee Volunteers | 45c | 96.7$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.52 | 100 | 48%48 W · 52 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3415…034cbacked Illinois Fighting Illini | 43c | 93.02$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.02 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d85…2560backed Tennessee Volunteers | 55c | 89.99$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 186 | 46.2%86 W · 100 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x000e…d8d8backed Tennessee Volunteers | 47c | 78$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.66 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a52…9ad6backed Tennessee Volunteers | 37c | 72.43$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd851…9305backed Tennessee Volunteers | 55c | 66$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.3 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Tennessee Volunteers | 42c | 64.4$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.37 | 100 | 37%37 W · 63 L | -8.6wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x254a…7975backed Illinois Fighting Illini | 44c | 56.82$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.82 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa23…753ebacked Illinois Fighting Illini | 45c | 54.93$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb5…1fa1backed Illinois Fighting Illini | 45c | 47.04$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.87 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 48cpaid | +111.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0517…71febacked Tennessee Volunteers | 57c | 45.42$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c76…cfd9backed Illinois Fighting Illini | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x405a…c019backed Tennessee Volunteers | 57c | 39.64$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Illinois Fighting Illini | 55c | 36.07$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.07 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Tennessee Volunteers | 46c | 35$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.05 | 350 | 50.3%176 W · 174 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Tennessee Volunteers | 37c | 32.9$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.02 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3582…c01ebacked Tennessee Volunteers | 57c | 31.85$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Tennessee Volunteers | 45c | 31.09$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.99 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Tennessee Volunteers | 36c | 30.36$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.99 | 735 | 49.1%361 W · 374 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Illinois Fighting Illini | 45c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.6 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked Illinois Fighting Illini | 45c | 28$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.4 | 231 | 58.9%136 W · 95 L | +23.5wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Illinois Fighting Illini | 67c | 23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.59 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.