WNBA · resolved market
Wings vs Mystics
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb944baaca3152b8416b3146b0cb8df79ffd39393b2c2f28f32a6afc07012b53a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Mysticsof Wings, Mystics
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,988
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,417
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,988 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Mystics | 60c | 9,583$5,727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,856.16 | 90 | 55.6%50 W · 40 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Wings | 39c | 5,259$2,038 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,038.1 | 71 | 62%44 W · 27 L | +9.8wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Wings | 39c | 4,558$1,757 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,757.24 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Mystics | 62c | 2,495$1,557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$937.82 | 47 | 66%31 W · 16 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Mystics | 64c | 2,356$1,508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$847.85 | 95 | 37.9%36 W · 59 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Mystics | 65c | 2,205$1,433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$771.75 | 144 | 50.7%73 W · 71 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Wings | 40c | 1,533$618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$617.93 | 124 | 63.7%79 W · 45 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Mystics | 37c | 967.11$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.94 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x976c…62b8backed Wings | 27c | 620.27$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.22per pick | 35cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Mystics | 39c | 516$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.16 | 128 | 57.8%74 W · 54 L | +11.2wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Mystics | 65c | 502$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.7 | 386 | 50.3%194 W · 192 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Wings | 57c | 336$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.07 | 191 | 42.4%81 W · 110 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Wings | 38c | 261.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 234 | 31.6%74 W · 160 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Wings | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 272 | 32.7%89 W · 183 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…a8bdbacked Mystics | 63c | 203.97$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.47 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Mystics | 75c | 168.11$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.74 | 66 | 51.5%34 W · 32 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Wings | 37c | 135.71$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.21 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…e2cebacked Mystics | 66c | 135$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.9 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…0160backed Mystics | 55c | 121.11$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.96 | 232 | 34.5%80 W · 152 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f64…ba01backed Wings | 54c | 111.11$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 100 | 39%39 W · 61 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Wings | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 128 | 33.6%43 W · 85 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x224b…f6b8backed Mystics | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.75 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -3.1wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a9…0952backed Wings | 41c | 87.83$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 82 | 12.2%10 W · 72 L | -10.5wins | -0.13per pick | 25cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Wings | 34c | 66.5$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.61 | 214 | 40.7%87 W · 127 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Mystics | 50c | 59.39$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.99 | 152 | 46.7%71 W · 81 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ef…9e7abacked Wings | 54c | 58.11$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.38 | 115 | 45.2%52 W · 63 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x524c…64c8backed Wings | 36c | 57.68$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.82 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.18per pick | 30cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd420…df90backed Mystics | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 115 | 52.2%60 W · 55 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0516…dbc2backed Mystics | 66c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0641…1985backed Wings | 24c | 45$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.68 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Wings | 40c | 36$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 98 | 39.8%39 W · 59 L | +8.8wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0c…04cbbacked Mystics | 60c | 35$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.87 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x871a…7be4backed Mystics | 64c | 18.75$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.75 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafbc…a8b5backed Mystics | 66c | 16.5$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.61 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -3.1wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.