Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: FUSION vs Tezcat Gaming - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb989fde19f17037767a9f5bbf50b51d75b928da6c7951dbc8738a67cd680be28
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Tezcat Gamingof FUSION, Tezcat Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,347
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,380
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,347 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 14 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x084b…3de6backed Tezcat Gaming | 65c | 2,303$1,489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$813.74 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked FUSION | 34c | 1,354$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.39 | 1,358 | 39%530 W · 828 L | -57.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcbd6…5f73backed Tezcat Gaming | 67c | 748.45$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.04 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed FUSION | 32c | 541.44$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.75 | 779 | 29.5%230 W · 549 L | -72.4wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -39%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed FUSION | 46c | 295$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.14 | 664 | 38.1%253 W · 411 L | -31.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked FUSION | 24c | 173$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.6 | 1,601 | 37.5%600 W · 1,001 L | -75.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Tezcat Gaming | 25c | 160.44$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.44 | 199 | 45.2%90 W · 109 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x912e…0eaebacked Tezcat Gaming | 58c | 130.94$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 86 | 34.9%30 W · 56 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Tezcat Gaming | 71c | 119.02$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.99 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x476e…00a9backed FUSION | 32c | 80.77$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +5.1wins | +0.20per pick | 52cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked FUSION | 44c | 79$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.76 | 182 | 41.2%75 W · 107 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Tezcat Gaming | 59c | 60$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.6 | 236 | 44.9%106 W · 130 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0386…2b1abacked FUSION | 43c | 34.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 170 | 39.4%67 W · 103 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Tezcat Gaming | 67c | 33$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.92 | 174 | 63.8%111 W · 63 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: FUSION vs Tezcat Gaming - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Valorant: FUSION vs Tezcat Gaming (BO3) - VCL Latin America North Group StageTezcat Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.