Other European Leagues · resolved market
Lyngby BK vs. FC Midtjylland: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb9a8084a838b94edef635288f9fe40175f256895d3099c1096de2a810262f211
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,329
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,606
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,329 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over | 24c | 3,222$785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$784.54 | 518 | 42.1%218 W · 300 L | -18.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 76c | 2,762$2,113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$649.22 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Over | 22c | 627.27$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 96 | 37.5%36 W · 60 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 72c | 561.56$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.67 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over | 28c | 499.99$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 100 | 31%31 W · 69 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ba1…88c1backed Over | 47c | 298.81$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15a6…bf5dbacked Under | 60c | 183.7$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.48 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over | 38c | 89.02$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.76 | 176 | 50%88 W · 88 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 78c | 57.14$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.29 | 559 | 54.9%307 W · 252 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Under | 79c | 56.38$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.12 | 322 | 57.8%186 W · 136 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Under | 78c | 53.08$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.9 | 244 | 66%161 W · 83 L | +15.8wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3c52…99e1backed Under | 76c | 52.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.63 | 76 | 82.9%63 W · 13 L | +7.6wins | +0.10per pick | 73cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…be26backed Over | 39c | 45$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.55 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bec…8d52backed Under | 54c | 44$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.24 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Over | 31c | 43.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.64 | 197 | 29.9%59 W · 138 L | -21.8wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 79c | 28.89$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.93 | 351 | 63.5%223 W · 128 L | +13.8wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4702…2211backed Over | 42c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 58c | 19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.98 | 1,467 | 48%704 W · 763 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd97…ae50backed Under | 72c | 18.05$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.13 | 41 | 78%32 W · 9 L | +4.9wins | +0.12per pick | 66cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…52a2backed Under | 73c | 17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.51 | 126 | 64.3%81 W · 45 L | +16.3wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe392…d868backed Under | 79c | 15.59$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.27 | 67 | 67.2%45 W · 22 L | +6.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Lyngby BK vs. FC Midtjylland: O/U 3.5this page
- Lyngby BK vs. FC Midtjylland: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Lyngby BK vs. FC Midtjylland: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Lyngby BK vs. FC Midtjylland: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Lyngby BK vs. FC Midtjylland: Lyngby BK O/U 1.5Under won
- Lyngby BK vs. FC Midtjylland: O/U 0.5Over won
- Lyngby BK vs. FC Midtjylland: O/U 1.5Over won
- Lyngby BK vs. FC Midtjylland: O/U 2.5Under won
- Lyngby BK vs. FC Midtjylland: O/U 4.5Under won
- Lyngby BK vs. FC Midtjylland: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: FC Midtjylland (-1.5)Lyngby BK won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.