Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Kent State Golden Flashes vs. Portland Pilots
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb9d161e9ba22896e15282b664e06cb3f686534ccf1ff9432428275ce780748d8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Portland Pilotsof Kent State Golden Flashes, Portland Pilots
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,979
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,049
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,979 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Portland Pilots | 26c | 700.85$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.24 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Kent State Golden Flashes | 74c | 661.54$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.54 | 556 | 57.4%319 W · 237 L | +20.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea81…eeaebacked Portland Pilots | 23c | 483.56$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.98 | 1,227 | 27.8%341 W · 886 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Kent State Golden Flashes | 77c | 451$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.75 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Kent State Golden Flashes | 77c | 400$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.5 | 74 | 67.6%50 W · 24 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 71cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Portland Pilots | 59c | 282.91$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.1 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Kent State Golden Flashes | 26c | 243.59$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.24 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee14…8055backed Portland Pilots | 58c | 238.55$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.03 | 77 | 58.4%45 W · 32 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5af4…2c29backed Portland Pilots | 43c | 170.51$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.19 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Kent State Golden Flashes | 44c | 150$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Kent State Golden Flashes | 53c | 122$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.47 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Portland Pilots | 30c | 104.1$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.56 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e5…fe31backed Kent State Golden Flashes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 95 | 4.2%4 W · 91 L | -7.0wins | -0.07per pick | 12cpaid | -86%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…5bd8backed Kent State Golden Flashes | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +3.9wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Kent State Golden Flashes | 37c | 96.88$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.84 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cd…04f6backed Portland Pilots | 42c | 71.43$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.43 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75f1…907dbacked Kent State Golden Flashes | 40c | 57$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | -3.9wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Portland Pilots | 24c | 50$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 735 | 49.1%361 W · 374 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Kent State Golden Flashes | 54c | 46$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.84 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Kent State Golden Flashes | 60c | 33.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.07 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Portland Pilots | 36c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kent State Golden Flashes vs. Portland Pilotsthis page
- Kent State Golden Flashes vs. Portland Pilots: O/U 163.5Over won
- Spread: Kent State Golden Flashes (-7.5)Portland Pilots won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.