South American Leagues · resolved market
CR Vasco da Gama vs. EC Bahia: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb9d3bb5e399e5e8da161ae4c0e79699d913eef02f7f0d502323287ff60b67eb9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,956
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,187
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,956 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 39c | 2,222$860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,361.74 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaab8…a331backed Over | 70c | 1,425$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.4 | 80 | 57.5%46 W · 34 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1ef…9fadbacked Over | 78c | 849.64$659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$658.56 | 123 | 54.5%67 W · 56 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 47c | 746.47$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.93 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 34c | 543.93$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.95 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3be…f543backed Over | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 23c | 258.36$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.98 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b47…3f2ebacked Over | 75c | 228.87$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.75 | 56 | 60.7%34 W · 22 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b53…95c4backed Over | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x172d…6f3ebacked Over | 55c | 190$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.5 | 95 | 45.3%43 W · 52 L | -6.9wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -16%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 51c | 156.86$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 769 | 51.5%396 W · 373 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…fe46backed Over | 39c | 140.16$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.88 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 27c | 135.74$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.18 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc7…b90dbacked Over | 39c | 127.47$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 66 | 22.7%15 W · 51 L | -6.9wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…15efbacked Over | 32c | 111.81$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.98 | 85 | 37.6%32 W · 53 L | -5.9wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 77c | 109.09$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 359 | 58.8%211 W · 148 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x649a…02afbacked Over | 77c | 105$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 70cpaid | -13%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc55d…9d2dbacked Under | 79c | 101.62$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.62 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Over | 50c | 90.86$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.73 | 102 | 36.3%37 W · 65 L | -7.5wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a76…b30fbacked Over | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 63 | 39.7%25 W · 38 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b34…ffc3backed Under | 22c | 77.42$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.49 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 493 | 41%202 W · 291 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e1a…d5a3backed Under | 27c | 67.39$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.38 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Under | 56c | 58.29$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.67 | 270 | 50.7%137 W · 133 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d98…38a4backed Over | 47c | 51.4$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.16 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfacd…d470backed Over | 76c | 45$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.2 | 50 | 76%38 W · 12 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 69cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5aad…4d6ebacked Over | 64c | 39.06$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 133 | 35.3%47 W · 86 L | -14.9wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0b99…c0acbacked Over | 77c | 27.94$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.51 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -51%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd265…a7ecbacked Under | 75c | 17.48$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.37 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +3.5wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Over | 77c | 15.1$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.63 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc596…4368backed Over | 79c | 13.92$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 73cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CR Vasco da Gama vs. EC Bahia: O/U 1.5this page
- CR Vasco da Gama vs. EC Bahia: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- CR Vasco da Gama vs. EC Bahia: O/U 2.5Under won
- CR Vasco da Gama vs. EC Bahia: O/U 3.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.