South American Leagues · resolved market
CR Vasco da Gama vs. EC Bahia: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x61568e876ff914c2c24269247ab05ceb5ff84041baa801cf999e457d6bbbae5c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,256
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,526
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,256 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 42c | 956.35$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$551.08 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdecf…caf2backed Yes | 74c | 402.73$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -5.4wins | -0.17per pick | 46cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 32c | 326.49$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.6 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e52…9078backed Yes | 40c | 300$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 122 | 39.3%48 W · 74 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7447…c413backed Yes | 70c | 286$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x53f7…2544backed No | 29c | 273.45$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.45 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +5.2wins | +0.15per pick | 37cpaid | +48.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x06a0…5804backed Yes | 73c | 252.15$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 27c | 227.23$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.49 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes | 48c | 191.81$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 391 | 27.1%106 W · 285 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b2a…bc9bbacked Yes | 59c | 170.01$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 69cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3bd…c88dbacked Yes | 78c | 142.46$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.5 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed No | 41c | 129.4$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.35 | 218 | 49.5%108 W · 110 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked No | 37c | 111.13$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.61 | 102 | 36.3%37 W · 65 L | -7.5wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 32c | 104.55$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.91 | 373 | 55.2%206 W · 167 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d54…81a1backed Yes | 55c | 72.73$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 110 | 36.4%40 W · 70 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 42c | 52.66$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.68 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Yes | 54c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 48c | 49.13$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 817 | 40.8%333 W · 484 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc5…ee5abacked Yes | 58c | 43.1$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 181 | 40.3%73 W · 108 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd43…7b3fbacked Yes | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 96 | 54.2%52 W · 44 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…2391backed Yes | 59c | 33.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Yes | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 93 | 61.3%57 W · 36 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aad…4d6ebacked Yes | 54c | 29.54$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.95 | 133 | 35.3%47 W · 86 L | -14.9wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 41c | 25.1$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.81 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ec…aeaabacked Yes | 64c | 23.44$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -3.5wins | -0.21per pick | 50cpaid | -39%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1859…2aefbacked Yes | 66c | 21.14$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3c64…cb26backed Yes | 73c | 20.55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x850a…568abacked Yes | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfed6…99d6backed Yes | 58c | 18.86$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CR Vasco da Gama vs. EC Bahia: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- CR Vasco da Gama vs. EC Bahia: O/U 1.5Under won
- CR Vasco da Gama vs. EC Bahia: O/U 2.5Under won
- CR Vasco da Gama vs. EC Bahia: O/U 3.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.