Europa Conference League · resolved market
Zirə FK vs. SK Torpedo Kutaisi: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb9de59f1abe443f4d7820ef1d4c31a6e35dbdc82a56ef9b0eaf0b699903af122
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,500
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,519
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,500 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x162c…6c47backed Under | 51c | 4,351$2,207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,144.08 | 101 | 57.4%58 W · 43 L | +7.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 49c | 2,776$1,366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,366.2 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f37…281bbacked Over | 21c | 2,097$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.39 | 45 | 13.3%6 W · 39 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 74c | 1,294$962 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.06 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd871…6bbabacked Over | 28c | 672.99$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.75 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 77c | 589.55$452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.94 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 3c | 568.03$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.68 | 370 | 46.5%172 W · 198 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 72c | 506.6$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.85 | 969 | 47.5%460 W · 509 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 74c | 272.01$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.66 | 1,604 | 38.9%624 W · 980 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Over | 49c | 231.1$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.24 | 374 | 46.8%175 W · 199 L | +27.1wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 50c | 210.9$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.14 | 1,033 | 46.1%476 W · 557 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 174 | 47.7%83 W · 91 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 44c | 143.17$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.32 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b99…8f62backed Under | 58c | 123.26$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.8 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -3.7wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6216…1bd4backed Over | 21c | 70$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Over | 49c | 60$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.47 | 59 | 33.9%20 W · 39 L | -8.6wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Over | 46c | 57.43$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.51 | 334 | 46.7%156 W · 178 L | -14.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 72c | 56.72$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.8 | 476 | 49.4%235 W · 241 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42a1…a8e9backed Over | 46c | 53.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.78 | 60 | 35%21 W · 39 L | -6.5wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 76c | 53.88$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.81 | 852 | 60.9%519 W · 333 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Over | 53c | 53.75$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.6 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Over | 52c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.78 | 198 | 48%95 W · 103 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b42…7cbebacked Over | 55c | 49.98$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.49 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Over | 52c | 48.77$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.21 | 278 | 46.4%129 W · 149 L | -12.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Over | 28c | 42.4$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.71 | 31 | 0%0 W · 31 L | -11.5wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 27-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Over | 51c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.2 | 239 | 50.2%120 W · 119 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9565…ec9abacked Under | 49c | 34.45$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.43 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 73c | 32$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.64 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Over | 54c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.1 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x976e…8453backed Under | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 69cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…c118backed Under | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbc8…4f5bbacked Under | 78c | 19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.18 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +3.9wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1715…a049backed Under | 72c | 13.88$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.84 | 91 | 54.9%50 W · 41 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Zirə FK vs. SK Torpedo Kutaisi: O/U 3.5this page
- Spread: Zirə FK (-1.5)Zirə FK won
- Spread: Zirə FK (-2.5)Zirə FK won
- Zirə FK vs. SK Torpedo Kutaisi: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Zirə FK vs. SK Torpedo Kutaisi: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Zirə FK vs. SK Torpedo Kutaisi: O/U 0.5Over won
- Zirə FK vs. SK Torpedo Kutaisi: O/U 1.5Over won
- Zirə FK vs. SK Torpedo Kutaisi: O/U 2.5Over won
- Zirə FK vs. SK Torpedo Kutaisi: O/U 4.5Under won
- Zirə FK vs. SK Torpedo Kutaisi: O/U 5.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.