Lol · resolved market
LoL: FALKE Esports vs GIANTX iTero - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb9ef3eb82e8b50db59e636018b56ecd22c1fc916f39c21baaaaeddb249bcfae6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- GIANTX iTeroof FALKE Esports, GIANTX iTero
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,368
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,402
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,368 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 14 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3eb3…4d75backed GIANTX iTero | 80c | 2,255$1,803 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.17 | 608 | 55.8%339 W · 269 L | -14.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed FALKE Esports | 20c | 1,971$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389 | 1,389 | 37.7%524 W · 865 L | -45.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed FALKE Esports | 20c | 1,571$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.26 | 1,826 | 39.9%728 W · 1,098 L | -61.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x024c…5fa1backed FALKE Esports | 18c | 999.99$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 1,208 | 35.8%432 W · 776 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed FALKE Esports | 18c | 628.87$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.2 | 421 | 43.9%185 W · 236 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff2…c175backed FALKE Esports | 21c | 444.44$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.18 | 407 | 26.8%109 W · 298 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18b7…fff9backed FALKE Esports | 5c | 400$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 551 | 10.3%57 W · 494 L | +15.9wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | +55.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70a0…2dc3backed FALKE Esports | 3c | 333.34$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 109 | 30.3%33 W · 76 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed FALKE Esports | 20c | 159.09$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.26 | 158 | 23.4%37 W · 121 L | -21.3wins | -0.14per pick | 37cpaid | -58.5%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x9473…cba4backed FALKE Esports | 20c | 150$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 535 | 45.2%242 W · 293 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6f8…7fa1backed FALKE Esports | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 777 | 46.2%359 W · 418 L | +18.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed FALKE Esports | 19c | 60$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 501 | 45.7%229 W · 272 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x453d…2dbabacked FALKE Esports | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed GIANTX iTero | 78c | 29.74$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.54 | 1,385 | 45.1%625 W · 760 L | -12.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: FALKE Esports vs GIANTX iTero - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Game Handicap: GXI (-1.5) vs FALKE Esports (+1.5)GIANTX iTero won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: FALKE Esports vs GIANTX iTero (BO3) - LES Regular SeasonGIANTX iTero won
- LoL: FALKE Esports vs GIANTX iTero - Game 2 WinnerGIANTX iTero won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.