Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Melilla Titans vs FALKE ESPORTS (BO3) - VCL Spain: Rising Phase 2 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xba1b9b594b794e3b160b9ae43b5444a73197c2a79923cca8087e9adf4f13cab5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FALKE ESPORTSof Melilla Titans, FALKE ESPORTS
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,377
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,329
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,377 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xba38…e406backed FALKE ESPORTS | 72c | 8,684$6,226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,457.95 | 547 | 51.2%280 W · 267 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8688…9d8cbacked Melilla Titans | 30c | 6,929$2,079 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,078.77 | 68 | 63.2%43 W · 25 L | +10.3wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd0cc…ce77backed Melilla Titans | 29c | 2,121$619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$619.02 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4926…a3bfbacked FALKE ESPORTS | 72c | 2,062$1,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$581.66 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +2.7wins | +0.14per pick | 60cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f01…0d90backed Melilla Titans | 29c | 1,000$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -4.2wins | -0.18per pick | 45cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xee8e…0a7bbacked FALKE ESPORTS | 74c | 788.59$587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.05 | 781 | 62%484 W · 297 L | +16.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Melilla Titans | 30c | 757.92$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.63 | 248 | 46%114 W · 134 L | -13.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Melilla Titans | 14c | 697.9$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.64 | 1,376 | 47.1%648 W · 728 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x914a…3297backed Melilla Titans | 29c | 500$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc44b…4048backed FALKE ESPORTS | 70c | 485.71$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.71 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +4.9wins | +0.16per pick | 40cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x05ba…3e90backed Melilla Titans | 37c | 375$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c6e…b0a3backed FALKE ESPORTS | 71c | 270.31$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.31 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f19…b9ffbacked Melilla Titans | 25c | 264$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x354a…1f45backed Melilla Titans | 29c | 200$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Melilla Titans | 16c | 186$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 450 | 33.8%152 W · 298 L | -35.6wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9f…8e23backed Melilla Titans | 30c | 172.83$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.85 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +3.7wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8726…0f36backed FALKE ESPORTS | 70c | 167$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.1 | 230 | 55.7%128 W · 102 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x04b7…7491backed FALKE ESPORTS | 70c | 167$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.1 | 138 | 48.6%67 W · 71 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Melilla Titans | 17c | 165.31$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.3 | 1,490 | 46.6%695 W · 795 L | -16.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b9…7a6bbacked Melilla Titans | 31c | 163.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 103 | 46.6%48 W · 55 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Melilla Titans | 21c | 162.69$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.81 | 1,417 | 51.3%727 W · 690 L | +49.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed FALKE ESPORTS | 79c | 155.29$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.69 | 59 | 39%23 W · 36 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Melilla Titans | 29c | 153.76$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.89 | 463 | 26.6%123 W · 340 L | -26.0wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x443c…d83abacked Melilla Titans | 30c | 149.81$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.94 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82b9…c6cebacked FALKE ESPORTS | 70c | 140.01$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.8 | 63 | 66.7%42 W · 21 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8776…f2efbacked Melilla Titans | 30c | 133.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5489…1633backed FALKE ESPORTS | 70c | 126.75$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.38 | 65 | 33.8%22 W · 43 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Melilla Titans | 28c | 124.57$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.88 | 534 | 42.1%225 W · 309 L | -15.0wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb3e…9120backed Melilla Titans | 25c | 120.05$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -4.0wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Melilla Titans | 30c | 110$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 544 | 39.9%217 W · 327 L | +12.7wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91ba…c285backed Melilla Titans | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c47…7a9fbacked Melilla Titans | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 127 | 50.4%64 W · 63 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked FALKE ESPORTS | 62c | 99.83$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.94 | 867 | 47.5%412 W · 455 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8f…870ebacked Melilla Titans | 18c | 97.42$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.06 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55e7…4fb9backed Melilla Titans | 30c | 96.08$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.82 | 81 | 34.6%28 W · 53 L | -6.0wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked Melilla Titans | 26c | 95.48$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.83 | 257 | 45.9%118 W · 139 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked Melilla Titans | 24c | 92.79$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.65 | 240 | 32.1%77 W · 163 L | -18.7wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1eb3…6bfebacked FALKE ESPORTS | 64c | 83.98$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.23 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4238…3734backed Melilla Titans | 28c | 68.34$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.14 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadec…1cb0backed FALKE ESPORTS | 76c | 64.84$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.57 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x719c…9257backed FALKE ESPORTS | 71c | 63.38$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.38 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Melilla Titans | 29c | 49.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 67 | 56.7%38 W · 29 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfd…6000backed FALKE ESPORTS | 68c | 47.6$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Melilla Titans | 29c | 41.87$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.31 | 219 | 51.6%113 W · 106 L | -16.1wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Melilla Titans | 31c | 40.01$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 601 | 54.2%326 W · 275 L | +24.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3975…af20backed FALKE ESPORTS | 71c | 33.58$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.74 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +3.1wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8d2e…f022backed Melilla Titans | 37c | 28.86$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.57 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f05…eeb3backed FALKE ESPORTS | 76c | 13.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.24 | 42 | 71.4%30 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 76cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Melilla Titans vs FALKE ESPORTS (BO3) - VCL Spain: Rising Phase 2 Playoffsthis page
- Valorant: Melilla Titans vs FALKE ESPORTS - Map 1 WinnerFALKE ESPORTS won
- Valorant: Melilla Titans vs FALKE ESPORTS - Map 2 WinnerFALKE ESPORTS won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.