Tennis · resolved market
Murcia: Gilles Arnaud Bailly vs Saba Purtseladze
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xba4ce2f737f50149d582b0fe94b25c7b08bd003c1c34b4221906eecb41c8894a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Gilles Arnaud Baillyof Gilles Arnaud Bailly, Saba Purtseladze
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,083
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,083 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Saba Purtseladze | 16c | 6,447$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040.05 | 1,284 | 39.2%503 W · 781 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Saba Purtseladze | 15c | 1,584$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.85 | 1,106 | 41%454 W · 652 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Saba Purtseladze | 9c | 1,059$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.08 | 246 | 34.1%84 W · 162 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Saba Purtseladze | 19c | 992.4$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.38 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7842…4d91backed Saba Purtseladze | 14c | 904.05$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.88 | 119 | 27.7%33 W · 86 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -13%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Saba Purtseladze | 10c | 823.27$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.27 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Saba Purtseladze | 17c | 819$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.49 | 203 | 36%73 W · 130 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x621c…7721backed Saba Purtseladze | 15c | 800$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Saba Purtseladze | 14c | 592.68$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.96 | 1,265 | 29.2%370 W · 895 L | -13.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee9…1362backed Gilles Arnaud Bailly | 77c | 579.43$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.82 | 725 | 42.6%309 W · 416 L | -20.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Saba Purtseladze | 9c | 448.93$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.39 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Saba Purtseladze | 13c | 377.06$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.56 | 1,882 | 35.5%669 W · 1,213 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Saba Purtseladze | 4c | 340.42$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.54 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70b6…aa2fbacked Saba Purtseladze | 9c | 299.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.9 | 57 | 5.3%3 W · 54 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47fd…da1abacked Saba Purtseladze | 4c | 298.98$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.98 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 10cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Saba Purtseladze | 17c | 273.18$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.44 | 285 | 41.1%117 W · 168 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb580…9b95backed Saba Purtseladze | 19c | 268$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.11 | 269 | 41.3%111 W · 158 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Saba Purtseladze | 19c | 235.85$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.31 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Saba Purtseladze | 6c | 200$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 459 | 9.6%44 W · 415 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf14…5d95backed Saba Purtseladze | 11c | 188.59$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.06 | 38 | 21.1%8 W · 30 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Saba Purtseladze | 7c | 170$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Saba Purtseladze | 16c | 144.76$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.38 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xceb2…c863backed Saba Purtseladze | 8c | 121.43$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Saba Purtseladze | 16c | 95$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.47 | 884 | 55%486 W · 398 L | +37.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Saba Purtseladze | 17c | 85.04$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.46 | 1,245 | 33.9%422 W · 823 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce2…4b11backed Saba Purtseladze | 15c | 80$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 40 | 27.5%11 W · 29 L | -3.5wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Gilles Arnaud Bailly | 77c | 68.05$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.58 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Saba Purtseladze | 20c | 65$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.91 | 2,118 | 55.9%1,185 W · 933 L | +40.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf77c…61cabacked Gilles Arnaud Bailly | 77c | 62$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.36 | 118 | 46.6%55 W · 63 L | -8.8wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf026…8df7backed Saba Purtseladze | 20c | 54$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.98 | 373 | 42.6%159 W · 214 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.