Tennis · resolved market
Adelaide International, Qualification: Benjamin Bonzi vs Quentin Halys
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbaa3983e3aa45308f265c4d3a049a5e26d00cd1b70b0f8793ac592ecc32f584f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Halysof Bonzi, Halys
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,316
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,058
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,316 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Halys | 73c | 5,286$3,863 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,422.98 | 586 | 39.6%232 W · 354 L | -21.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Bonzi | 0c | 3,960$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.66 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Bonzi | 25c | 2,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 191 | 31.4%60 W · 131 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8049…1e6cbacked Bonzi | 24c | 1,396$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Halys | 76c | 1,035$787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.52 | 8,241 | 45.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L | +166.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae90…f6c8backed Halys | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 69 | 37.7%26 W · 43 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc29…0db3backed Bonzi | 55c | 554.75$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Halys | 76c | 551.47$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.95 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe206…38cebacked Bonzi | 24c | 416.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Halys | 76c | 323.86$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.65 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f0f…a571backed Bonzi | 24c | 312.5$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 373 | 39.1%146 W · 227 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf642…0c19backed Bonzi | 22c | 250$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 67 | 32.8%22 W · 45 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Bonzi | 49c | 230$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.7 | 254 | 28%71 W · 183 L | -13.4wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c79…8b69backed Halys | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Halys | 44c | 160.75$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.02 | 347 | 45.2%157 W · 190 L | +16.5wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Halys | 78c | 154.86$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.43 | 1,655 | 50.1%829 W · 826 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc48…196bbacked Bonzi | 26c | 153.85$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5dc…7cf2backed Halys | 78c | 122$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.84 | 65 | 64.6%42 W · 23 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Halys | 46c | 93$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.65 | 1,809 | 43.8%793 W · 1,016 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85c2…9730backed Bonzi | 52c | 86.54$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 518 | 49.4%256 W · 262 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Bonzi | 46c | 73.45$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.45 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff2…49febacked Bonzi | 27c | 68.89$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 57 | 31.6%18 W · 39 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8b…d3d6backed Bonzi | 21c | 67.49$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.23 | 69 | 18.8%13 W · 56 L | -11.0wins | -0.16per pick | 35cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Bonzi | 17c | 67.03$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.53 | 6,792 | 36.9%2,505 W · 4,287 L | -98.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70a1…978abacked Bonzi | 51c | 66.67$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 884 | 46.8%414 W · 470 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Bonzi | 21c | 64.68$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.63 | 276 | 27.2%75 W · 201 L | -25.2wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaa18…6dd1backed Bonzi | 25c | 60$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 36cpaid | +75%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Bonzi | 47c | 52.57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.71 | 1,039 | 54.6%567 W · 472 L | +37.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked Halys | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 1,056 | 55.4%585 W · 471 L | -22.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Halys | 74c | 46.15$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 11,666 | 43.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L | +22.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Bonzi | 26c | 42.31$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 288 | 33.3%96 W · 192 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3492…9fddbacked Halys | 76c | 24.99$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfb4…da3cbacked Halys | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.