Lol · resolved market
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Team Orange Gaming (BO1) - Comedy Central Winter Snowdown Group B
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbab8ec3cb3ff71704b50a1c380c0443e715d8b7fd67c4e9a25933e197d7ee7cd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Orange Gamingof Eintracht Spandau, Team Orange Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,528
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,046
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,528 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8d9f…787abacked Eintracht Spandau | 61c | 2,500$1,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,530 | 610 | 45.2%276 W · 334 L | +35.4wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +16%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3414…067abacked Team Orange Gaming | 60c | 2,345$1,414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$930.96 | 771 | 31.8%245 W · 526 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4108…9e22backed Team Orange Gaming | 33c | 676.96$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.96 | 160 | 34.4%55 W · 105 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Team Orange Gaming | 40c | 667.5$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.5 | 1,806 | 39.1%707 W · 1,099 L | -30.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Eintracht Spandau | 67c | 507.23$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.84 | 1,224 | 48.3%591 W · 633 L | +26.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Eintracht Spandau | 68c | 429.12$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.8 | 130 | 30.8%40 W · 90 L | -7.6wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a13…4d34backed Eintracht Spandau | 14c | 338.31$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.87 | 124 | 33.9%42 W · 82 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Team Orange Gaming | 40c | 325$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 536 | 49.8%267 W · 269 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f18…c9fdbacked Team Orange Gaming | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.5 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad72…4f5ebacked Team Orange Gaming | 35c | 181.78$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.44 | 759 | 42%319 W · 440 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc036…fba6backed Team Orange Gaming | 33c | 147.53$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.39 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x029a…503bbacked Eintracht Spandau | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Eintracht Spandau | 67c | 124.08$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.13 | 850 | 46%391 W · 459 L | -11.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf01e…aed4backed Team Orange Gaming | 33c | 91.82$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.82 | 51 | 64.7%33 W · 18 L | +4.5wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x31ad…8b71backed Eintracht Spandau | 64c | 85.36$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a8…8a9dbacked Eintracht Spandau | 67c | 59.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.75 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c55…84cebacked Team Orange Gaming | 39c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.5 | 184 | 40.8%75 W · 109 L | -14.2wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x97c3…b479backed Eintracht Spandau | 37c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Eintracht Spandau | 61c | 50$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 185 | 49.7%92 W · 93 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed Team Orange Gaming | 63c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 753 | 42.5%320 W · 433 L | -14.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked Team Orange Gaming | 34c | 49.99$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.99 | 474 | 44.1%209 W · 265 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x985b…ce2cbacked Team Orange Gaming | 33c | 45.45$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.45 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Eintracht Spandau | 63c | 43.12$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.17 | 219 | 43.8%96 W · 123 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb186…a946backed Eintracht Spandau | 66c | 37.88$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Team Orange Gaming | 34c | 31.9$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.04 | 159 | 45.3%72 W · 87 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca0…38babacked Eintracht Spandau | 66c | 30.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,443 | 43.4%626 W · 817 L | +105.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Eintracht Spandau | 68c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 540 | 54.3%293 W · 247 L | +26.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d29…6da9backed Eintracht Spandau | 73c | 27.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 327 | 52.9%173 W · 154 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed Eintracht Spandau | 56c | 21.82$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.22 | 541 | 29.9%162 W · 379 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd198…8797backed Team Orange Gaming | 79c | 14.78$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.09 | 183 | 62.3%114 W · 69 L | +12.4wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.