CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: METANOIA WOLVES vs paiN Academy - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbabc0c9456f5032f3f9a23dbaf53f2bd497fce72006ce501cee6a013c6226980
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- paiN Academyof METANOIA WOLVES, paiN Academy
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,917
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,193
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,917 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0063…2dd2backed paiN Academy | 71c | 579.81$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.93 | 402 | 64.7%260 W · 142 L | +49.2wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked paiN Academy | 64c | 269.22$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.73 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x584f…54b9backed paiN Academy | 61c | 249.65$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.39 | 122 | 59%72 W · 50 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x633e…d305backed paiN Academy | 80c | 234.92$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.99 | 129 | 37.2%48 W · 81 L | -14.7wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed METANOIA WOLVES | 40c | 149.55$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.82 | 513 | 48.3%248 W · 265 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked METANOIA WOLVES | 33c | 140.31$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.95 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked METANOIA WOLVES | 21c | 104.79$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.7 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked METANOIA WOLVES | 42c | 86$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.47 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xccdc…dbe6backed METANOIA WOLVES | 42c | 61.49$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.61 | 367 | 49.3%181 W · 186 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked METANOIA WOLVES | 28c | 61.26$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.95 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed METANOIA WOLVES | 39c | 61$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.89 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed METANOIA WOLVES | 40c | 56.45$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.58 | 613 | 38.2%234 W · 379 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked METANOIA WOLVES | 34c | 51$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.26 | 2,136 | 42.9%916 W · 1,220 L | -68.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked METANOIA WOLVES | 35c | 49.52$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.37 | 2,110 | 47.2%995 W · 1,115 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd520…0c5fbacked METANOIA WOLVES | 43c | 46.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked METANOIA WOLVES | 37c | 44$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.22 | 2,349 | 42.5%998 W · 1,351 L | -72.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc1…3f1cbacked METANOIA WOLVES | 42c | 43.56$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.18 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | -7.1wins | -0.18per pick | 48cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed METANOIA WOLVES | 38c | 42.7$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.1 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked METANOIA WOLVES | 36c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.26 | 1,848 | 41.7%770 W · 1,078 L | -69.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked METANOIA WOLVES | 36c | 40$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.56 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked paiN Academy | 60c | 37.41$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.96 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked METANOIA WOLVES | 40c | 33$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 1,630 | 43.2%704 W · 926 L | -32.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked METANOIA WOLVES | 32c | 32$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed METANOIA WOLVES | 52c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 131 | 42.7%56 W · 75 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked paiN Academy | 58c | 29.88$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.55 | 1,068 | 55%587 W · 481 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked paiN Academy | 59c | 28.63$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.74 | 1,496 | 51.5%771 W · 725 L | -7.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac71…f74cbacked paiN Academy | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.28 | 87 | 37.9%33 W · 54 L | -15.9wins | -0.18per pick | 56cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: METANOIA WOLVES vs paiN Academy - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: METANOIA WOLVES vs paiN Academy (BO3) - CCT South America Challengers #2 PlayoffspaiN Academy won
- Counter-Strike: METANOIA WOLVES vs paiN Academy - Map 2 WinnerpaiN Academy won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.