Europa Conference League · resolved market
Floriana FC vs. FC Drita: O/U 0.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbb3eac942a54e00ef47e18b36be57afb79219c98190f8d45e5d2e43f8242335f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,039
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,227
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,039 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x30d5…36bfbacked Under | 10c | 1,372$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.97 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | -4.6wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 69c | 995.01$683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.18 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 31c | 825.41$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.72 | 1,604 | 38.9%624 W · 980 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 17c | 664.89$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.26 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x17e2…d472backed Under | 16c | 581.25$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 16c | 397.07$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.07 | 795 | 32.2%256 W · 539 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under | 13c | 284.65$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.8 | 106 | 27.4%29 W · 77 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc37…bac6backed Over | 79c | 270$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.7 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8152…5b51backed Under | 30c | 194.67$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.4 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 6c | 184$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.73 | 783 | 44.8%351 W · 432 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 73c | 183.55$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.83 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e5e…b4afbacked Over | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdae…6ad2backed Over | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 206 | 60.2%124 W · 82 L | -15.2wins | -0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 65c | 129.86$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.94 | 1,033 | 46.1%476 W · 557 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcea…545bbacked Under | 74c | 112.81$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.08 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 63cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa1…bf73backed Over | 23c | 90$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.3 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 77c | 90$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.3 | 638 | 57.2%365 W · 273 L | +35.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed Under | 32c | 69.72$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.08 | 351 | 46.2%162 W · 189 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7aed…df39backed Under | 23c | 55$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.41 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Under | 25c | 54.24$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.69 | 451 | 35.9%162 W · 289 L | -19.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf423…31c4backed Under | 44c | 45.06$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.29per pick | 42cpaid | -78.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Over | 73c | 41.78$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.14 | 852 | 60.9%519 W · 333 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8403…6866backed Over | 80c | 32.1$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.58 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -68.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Over | 53c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.24 | 334 | 46.7%156 W · 178 L | -14.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc6d…31cebacked Under | 71c | 28.18$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +28%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeab4…f8c6backed Over | 64c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…c208backed Over | 68c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Under | 77c | 18.66$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.43 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Over | 67c | 17.24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 239 | 50.2%120 W · 119 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Floriana FC vs. FC Drita: O/U 0.5this page
- Floriana FC vs. FC Drita: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Floriana FC vs. FC Drita: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Floriana FC vs. FC Drita: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Floriana FC vs. FC Drita: FC Drita O/U 1.5Under won
- Floriana FC vs. FC Drita: Floriana FC O/U 0.5Over won
- Floriana FC vs. FC Drita: O/U 1.5Over won
- Floriana FC vs. FC Drita: O/U 2.5Under won
- Floriana FC vs. FC Drita: O/U 3.5Under won
- Floriana FC vs. FC Drita: O/U 4.5Under won
- Floriana FC vs. FC Drita: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: FC Drita (-1.5)Floriana FC won
- Spread: FC Drita (-2.5)Floriana FC won
- Spread: Floriana FC (-1.5)FC Drita won
- Spread: Floriana FC (-2.5)FC Drita won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.