Europa Conference League · resolved market
Floriana FC vs. FC Drita: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xab3b5c60becde4e8afbacee85faf09c741a3c622c37bf3a497ed35f5c0c434cb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,323
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,306
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,323 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x41d2…d7c9backed Over | 44c | 4,505$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 56c | 2,916$1,639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,276.32 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Under | 48c | 1,314$631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$683.08 | 433 | 44.6%193 W · 240 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Over | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 95 | 38.9%37 W · 58 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 54c | 838$453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.48 | 374 | 46.8%175 W · 199 L | +27.1wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Under | 51c | 757.61$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.23 | 142 | 45.8%65 W · 77 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 7c | 714.37$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.58 | 795 | 32.2%256 W · 539 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 5c | 666$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.3 | 359 | 44.8%161 W · 198 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 6c | 531.4$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.94 | 783 | 44.8%351 W · 432 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Over | 51c | 402.1$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.77 | 661 | 50.5%334 W · 327 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc2…9343backed Under | 51c | 392.55$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.55 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +3.0wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 50c | 379.2$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.65 | 1,316 | 50.8%668 W · 648 L | +33.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Over | 50c | 299.99$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.99 | 476 | 49.4%235 W · 241 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Over | 49c | 272.39$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.47 | 116 | 57.8%67 W · 49 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 50c | 197.26$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.63 | 555 | 45.8%254 W · 301 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc59…35f7backed Over | 52c | 144.15$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +3.1wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +71.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Under | 48c | 135.09$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.25 | 655 | 49.8%326 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 50c | 120.38$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.13 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ad3…1af6backed Over | 52c | 115.38$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Over | 52c | 110.83$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.63 | 694 | 48.8%339 W · 355 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 1,039 | 50%520 W · 519 L | +26.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e69…553abacked Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe24e…eecebacked Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66ac…5e75backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Under | 49c | 99.96$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.98 | 184 | 44.6%82 W · 102 L | +7.0wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 53c | 94.69$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.19 | 1,114 | 35.8%399 W · 715 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb109…d40fbacked Over | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa1…bf73backed Over | 34c | 79.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.05 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 47c | 78.45$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.58 | 969 | 47.5%460 W · 509 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Over | 50c | 59.79$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.9 | 501 | 54.7%274 W · 227 L | +20.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b3c…9f22backed Over | 53c | 58.49$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | +60.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa7…8332backed Over | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Over | 43c | 53.25$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.69 | 334 | 46.7%156 W · 178 L | -14.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f1…23eebacked Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 142 | 33.1%47 W · 95 L | -9.2wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x78fb…56bcbacked Over | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdae…6ad2backed Over | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 206 | 60.2%124 W · 82 L | -15.2wins | -0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f2…131dbacked Over | 53c | 32.08$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 61c | 29.98$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.69 | 384 | 53.1%204 W · 180 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fd9…932fbacked Under | 51c | 29.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.63 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0789…f7adbacked Over | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33ea…fa08backed Over | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe91c…0cf9backed Over | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7488…9cfbbacked Over | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 53c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 702 | 39.3%276 W · 426 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0464…67dabacked Under | 50c | 23.64$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.82 | 363 | 56.5%205 W · 158 L | +17.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed Over | 51c | 22.92$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.68 | 111 | 68.5%76 W · 35 L | +10.6wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x66ec…85c8backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked Over | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 99 | 58.6%58 W · 41 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x149d…0ecfbacked Over | 53c | 19.43$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Floriana FC vs. FC Drita: O/U 2.5this page
- Floriana FC vs. FC Drita: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Floriana FC vs. FC Drita: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Floriana FC vs. FC Drita: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Floriana FC vs. FC Drita: FC Drita O/U 1.5Under won
- Floriana FC vs. FC Drita: Floriana FC O/U 0.5Over won
- Floriana FC vs. FC Drita: O/U 0.5Over won
- Floriana FC vs. FC Drita: O/U 1.5Over won
- Floriana FC vs. FC Drita: O/U 3.5Under won
- Floriana FC vs. FC Drita: O/U 4.5Under won
- Floriana FC vs. FC Drita: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: FC Drita (-1.5)Floriana FC won
- Spread: FC Drita (-2.5)Floriana FC won
- Spread: Floriana FC (-1.5)FC Drita won
- Spread: Floriana FC (-2.5)FC Drita won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.