CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Just Players vs ex-RUSTEC (BO3) - Kibertochka Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbb5359f5eacbe1263bab3c44eeaea62da13786b963f5c3ab32a547822c678b1f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- ex-RUSTECof Just Players, ex-RUSTEC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,531
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,690
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,531 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet's whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3db4…d69bbacked ex-RUSTEC | 55c | 5,000$2,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,249.87 | 768 | 56.9%437 W · 331 L | +49.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed Just Players | 46c | 1,781$811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810.54 | 2,561 | 43.2%1,107 W · 1,454 L | +42.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82d2…beeabacked Just Players | 45c | 1,361$612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$612.46 | 1,054 | 52.6%554 W · 500 L | +31.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f8e…0c69backed ex-RUSTEC | 45c | 899.99$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495 | 337 | 37.7%127 W · 210 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1025…7e11backed ex-RUSTEC | 35c | 599.96$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.97 | 605 | 41%248 W · 357 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccec…1dfcbacked Just Players | 45c | 574.77$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.65 | 212 | 45.8%97 W · 115 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Just Players | 55c | 509.6$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.28 | 3,375 | 45.7%1,542 W · 1,833 L | -84.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d63…8b8cbacked Just Players | 45c | 350$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.5 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +47.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6fda…330cbacked Just Players | 45c | 340$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.8 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03f2…bcfdbacked Just Players | 47c | 301.09$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.8 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Just Players | 63c | 264.43$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.23 | 8,133 | 50.3%4,091 W · 4,042 L | +169.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Just Players | 64c | 225.81$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.72 | 4,165 | 50.9%2,119 W · 2,046 L | +70.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa24a…8382backed Just Players | 67c | 222.43$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.95 | 151 | 47.7%72 W · 79 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fc…5176backed Just Players | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 133 | 45.1%60 W · 73 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8616…3bb0backed ex-RUSTEC | 39c | 178.73$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.56 | 581 | 49.9%290 W · 291 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Just Players | 55c | 162.76$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.52 | 810 | 45.9%372 W · 438 L | -24.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x527d…3d71backed ex-RUSTEC | 54c | 160.31$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.74 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f12…3e35backed Just Players | 45c | 141.9$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.86 | 318 | 41.8%133 W · 185 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe893…afaebacked Just Players | 45c | 125.11$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.12 | 126 | 42.9%54 W · 72 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43e2…9aeebacked Just Players | 50c | 109.33$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.1 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc53…0f64backed Just Players | 65c | 97.25$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.49 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed ex-RUSTEC | 41c | 93.51$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.42 | 2,445 | 45.4%1,109 W · 1,336 L | -66.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35b7…c557backed Just Players | 44c | 93$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.92 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec6…9404backed Just Players | 46c | 71.85$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.05 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Just Players | 67c | 55$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.05 | 1,984 | 42.2%838 W · 1,146 L | -74.1wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked ex-RUSTEC | 48c | 48.86$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.44 | 3,706 | 29.5%1,093 W · 2,613 L | -297.7wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x67f6…1651backed ex-RUSTEC | 44c | 45.88$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.89 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | +6.3wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeeaa…15cebacked Just Players | 46c | 44.98$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.69 | 86 | 47.7%41 W · 45 L | +6.6wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x546a…1988backed ex-RUSTEC | 54c | 32$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.65 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.18per pick | 46cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8c…2d81backed ex-RUSTEC | 60c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.87 | 582 | 48.6%283 W · 299 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked ex-RUSTEC | 56c | 29.64$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.04 | 1,279 | 54.3%694 W · 585 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe11f…0128backed Just Players | 56c | 29.62$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.47 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed ex-RUSTEC | 55c | 24.82$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.17 | 529 | 52.7%279 W · 250 L | +12.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc4b…ecc5backed Just Players | 45c | 22.86$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.29 | 73 | 41.1%30 W · 43 L | -6.2wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Just Players vs ex-RUSTEC (BO3) - Kibertochka Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: Just Players vs ex-RUSTEC - Map 2 Winnerex-RUSTEC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
- The position was at least $10.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.