MLB · resolved market
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 8.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbb97f11ce19d46d332f7b0dd9745626d06374ad7e32814b7f705194dab2a627a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $45,456
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $45,121
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,456 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb8d6…4af7backed Over | 0c | 19,321$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.01 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Over | 45c | 2,438$1,097 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,097.07 | 411 | 49.1%202 W · 209 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 43c | 1,972$848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$848.05 | 650 | 50.3%327 W · 323 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 57c | 1,679$955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$723.77 | 1,355 | 49.8%675 W · 680 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 44c | 1,500$655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$655 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 53c | 1,280$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600.16 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 38c | 1,195$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.56 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Over | 43c | 1,017$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.22 | 1,041 | 50.1%522 W · 519 L | +17.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69c2…40cfbacked Over | 36c | 667.78$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.4 | 182 | 39.6%72 W · 110 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Under | 57c | 628.34$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.33 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Under | 57c | 624.47$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.68 | 344 | 52.6%181 W · 163 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Under | 57c | 619.49$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.66 | 393 | 51.9%204 W · 189 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 57c | 618.61$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.69 | 1,043 | 49%511 W · 532 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed Under | 57c | 615.61$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.09 | 157 | 53.5%84 W · 73 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Over | 44c | 595.54$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.76 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 57c | 581.8$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.63 | 1,269 | 51.1%648 W · 621 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 55c | 553.04$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.28 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 45c | 547.3$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.91 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 42c | 545.74$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.21 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 44c | 505.83$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.32 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Under | 55c | 411.98$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.39 | 105 | 48.6%51 W · 54 L | +8.9wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Over | 35c | 347.12$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.3 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ece…068abacked Under | 57c | 346.55$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.54 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fa0…aa66backed Under | 75c | 327.75$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.25 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.17per pick | 70cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Under | 56c | 259.04$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.97 | 1,708 | 49.9%852 W · 856 L | -17.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d3…6b6bbacked Under | 57c | 256.37$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.24 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fb…ee11backed Over | 44c | 178.12$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.37 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa42c…b22ebacked Under | 57c | 154.24$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.76 | 80 | 45%36 W · 44 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x73aa…409bbacked Over | 45c | 152.79$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.75 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7335…dd65backed Under | 57c | 151.97$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.67 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked Under | 57c | 151.79$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 183 | 45.4%83 W · 100 L | -9.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Over | 45c | 149$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.56 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07d0…1310backed Under | 57c | 148.42$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.82 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe02…5fb3backed Under | 57c | 140.77$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.02 | 158 | 47.5%75 W · 83 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Under | 57c | 138.82$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.69 | 243 | 48.1%117 W · 126 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…e162backed Under | 55c | 117.34$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.8 | 366 | 49.2%180 W · 186 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Under | 56c | 96.36$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.4 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed Over | 43c | 91.87$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.5 | 144 | 44.4%64 W · 80 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Under | 55c | 79.29$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.64 | 1,630 | 55.2%899 W · 731 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2099…3024backed Over | 27c | 64.33$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.28 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +85.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0258…06d0backed Over | 41c | 63.06$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.61 | 47 | 31.9%15 W · 32 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d5…a8dabacked Over | 46c | 52.59$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.19 | 209 | 55.5%116 W · 93 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…4576backed Over | 44c | 48.32$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.26 | 186 | 49.5%92 W · 94 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…3acabacked Under | 57c | 42.73$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.37 | 294 | 50.7%149 W · 145 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bbd…98f2backed Over | 44c | 40.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.04 | 187 | 51.3%96 W · 91 L | +9.9wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8040…5c8abacked Over | 45c | 39.9$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.96 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa24f…7c58backed Over | 44c | 36.67$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.04 | 134 | 39.6%53 W · 81 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Under | 61c | 35.47$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.75 | 254 | 52%132 W · 122 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Under | 56c | 34.77$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 704 | 55%387 W · 317 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…8f79backed Over | 43c | 32.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.19 | 399 | 48.1%192 W · 207 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Over | 44c | 31.35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.79 | 218 | 47.7%104 W · 114 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe777…c734backed Under | 61c | 30.46$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.86 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Over | 44c | 30.18$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.29 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Under | 56c | 28.23$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.42 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | -5.7wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…3d0ebacked Under | 64c | 24.81$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.88 | 265 | 53.2%141 W · 124 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Over | 44c | 23.96$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.54 | 352 | 40.3%142 W · 210 L | -23.5wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba9…4fa1backed Over | 45c | 23.21$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.44 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | -5.8wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc978…706bbacked Under | 57c | 21.01$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.04 | 310 | 46.5%144 W · 166 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…10d9backed Under | 56c | 19.47$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 355 | 47.3%168 W · 187 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed Under | 55c | 18.24$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.19 | 194 | 52.6%102 W · 92 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 8.5this page
- Spread: Chicago White Sox (-1.5)Chicago White Sox won
- Spread: Chicago White Sox (-2.5)Chicago White Sox won
- Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-1.5)Chicago White Sox won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Chicago White SoxChicago White Sox won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 6.5Under won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 7.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.