MLB · resolved market
White Sox vs. Athletics
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbbb189d960f034f15773115f956673247587fd6cbdf2e67b95a1bdceca4c98e3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Athleticsof White Sox, Athletics
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,427
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,671
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,427 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x05b9…af0abacked White Sox | 42c | 9,449$3,961 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,960.94 | 72 | 50%36 W · 36 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Athletics | 58c | 9,103$5,259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,844.08 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Athletics | 42c | 5,314$2,254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,059.99 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked White Sox | 58c | 4,253$2,454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,453.98 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed White Sox | 59c | 722.03$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426 | 686 | 56.4%387 W · 299 L | +38.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x70f8…d0d5backed Athletics | 68c | 500$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 213 | 56.3%120 W · 93 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb0…c865backed White Sox | 34c | 499.99$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 219 | 41.1%90 W · 129 L | -19.8wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -19%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd73b…70adbacked Athletics | 66c | 469.7$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.7 | 144 | 53.5%77 W · 67 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed White Sox | 33c | 429.75$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.85 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Athletics | 62c | 369$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.71 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Athletics | 60c | 292.86$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.24 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked White Sox | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed White Sox | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf62d…d3a0backed White Sox | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 150 | 50%75 W · 75 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Athletics | 53c | 266.2$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.35 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked White Sox | 34c | 205.88$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 311 | 45.7%142 W · 169 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed White Sox | 36c | 101.59$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.76 | 229 | 46.3%106 W · 123 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4887…179dbacked Athletics | 66c | 81.14$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.59 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | -5.1wins | -0.10per pick | 62cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed White Sox | 59c | 69$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.71 | 797 | 40.4%322 W · 475 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…e2cebacked Athletics | 65c | 56$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 519 | 55.3%287 W · 232 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Athletics | 65c | 45.53$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.73 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a0…88eebacked White Sox | 35c | 37.14$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.04 | 283 | 48.8%138 W · 145 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95f5…d9bcbacked White Sox | 32c | 37$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.94 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -61.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Athletics | 66c | 28.89$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.82 | 639 | 42.7%273 W · 366 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab92…f52abacked Athletics | 67c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.95 | 69 | 58%40 W · 29 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.