Tennis · resolved market
Tyler: Adam Walton vs Timo Legout
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbbe947ebb958d42bd63066beb39cf0f69ce0fdbc27144ad193c1c1dc867dbc9c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Adam Waltonof Adam Walton, Timo Legout
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $42,708
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $42,166
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,708 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Timo Legout | 18c | 4,344$795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$794.52 | 1,475 | 35.2%519 W · 956 L | -14.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacf8…e791backed Timo Legout | 31c | 3,250$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 337 | 37.1%125 W · 212 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6d2…4a24backed Timo Legout | 4c | 2,695$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.89 | 529 | 10%53 W · 476 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1bf…e36bbacked Timo Legout | 15c | 2,352$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364 | 41 | 17.1%7 W · 34 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Timo Legout | 13c | 2,177$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.57 | 6,792 | 36.9%2,505 W · 4,287 L | -98.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Timo Legout | 11c | 2,098$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.2 | 9,038 | 36.1%3,266 W · 5,772 L | -196.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x710c…78eabacked Timo Legout | 5c | 2,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,040 | 58.2%605 W · 435 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74bd…d371backed Timo Legout | 14c | 1,152$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.29 | 421 | 25.7%108 W · 313 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc41e…e2e9backed Timo Legout | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 64 | 0%0 W · 64 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Timo Legout | 17c | 530.51$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.82 | 5,325 | 28.8%1,533 W · 3,792 L | -21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d07…b9febacked Timo Legout | 5c | 526.5$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.59 | 320 | 8.8%28 W · 292 L | -15.3wins | -0.05per pick | 14cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Timo Legout | 18c | 500$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.36 | 1,107 | 42.8%474 W · 633 L | -20.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Timo Legout | 13c | 391.88$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.1 | 4,760 | 49.6%2,361 W · 2,399 L | +176.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…5c4cbacked Adam Walton | 79c | 254.02$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.94 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Timo Legout | 14c | 191.91$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.87 | 2,065 | 35.2%727 W · 1,338 L | -52.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Timo Legout | 15c | 183.33$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.33 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56ae…9badbacked Timo Legout | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 486 | 37.7%183 W · 303 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…f7f6backed Timo Legout | 18c | 112$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.16 | 2,528 | 36.2%914 W · 1,614 L | -26.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Timo Legout | 23c | 111.4$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.36 | 921 | 38.4%354 W · 567 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3de2…d073backed Timo Legout | 12c | 102.36$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.89 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x985d…33c9backed Timo Legout | 16c | 97.03$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1,300 | 36.9%480 W · 820 L | -34.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d2c…cd4ebacked Timo Legout | 18c | 83.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 249 | 45.4%113 W · 136 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Timo Legout | 17c | 59$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.03 | 1,489 | 32.6%486 W · 1,003 L | +22.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x167a…d542backed Timo Legout | 26c | 49$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.54 | 1,877 | 59.4%1,115 W · 762 L | +8.5wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28f7…404dbacked Adam Walton | 75c | 20.11$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.11 | 160 | 53.1%85 W · 75 L | +8.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07d1…439ebacked Adam Walton | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 87 | 55.2%48 W · 39 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0195…9f64backed Adam Walton | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 259 | 69.1%179 W · 80 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 71cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Adam Walton | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.04 | 1,629 | 49%798 W · 831 L | -51.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.