TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

Game Handicap: JDG (-1.5) vs Invictus Gaming (+1.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Invictus Gamingof JD Gaming, Invictus Gaming
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$6,751
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$7,698

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,751 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf5a7…63e7backed Invictus Gaming59c1,335$781 inWon+$553.7612143%52 W · 69 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x76b4…ca9bbacked JD Gaming43c999.98$430 inLost-$429.9944550.1%223 W · 222 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ad…6ed7backed Invictus Gaming57c897.39$511 inWon+$386.191942.1%8 W · 11 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick37cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed JD Gaming41c609.42$251 inLost-$251.151,82745.6%834 W · 993 L+26.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b39…3234backed JD Gaming41c540$221 inLost-$221.46741.8%28 W · 39 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8a2c…5172backed JD Gaming44c406.67$180 inLost-$18043640.6%177 W · 259 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8052…1124backed JD Gaming43c400$172 inLost-$17228843.8%126 W · 162 L-9.6wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9031…5265backed Invictus Gaming60c331.65$199 inWon+$132.6615049.3%74 W · 76 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick52cpaid+1.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x83c8…3b6cbacked Invictus Gaming57c322.19$184 inWon+$138.5421652.3%113 W · 103 L-10.4wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-4.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed Invictus Gaming56c300$168 inWon+$1322,36232%755 W · 1,607 L+42.0wins+0.02per pick30cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x92f5…13e5backed JD Gaming42c246.53$103 inLost-$103.3823240.5%94 W · 138 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x098c…1c67backed JD Gaming40c222.5$89 inLost-$88.651,03547.2%489 W · 546 L+26.2wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed JD Gaming42c216$91 inLost-$90.722,22637.5%834 W · 1,392 L-29.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc316…778dbacked Invictus Gaming56c200$112 inWon+$887154.9%39 W · 32 L-0.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x406d…5298backed Invictus Gaming57c175.44$100 inWon+$75.4414363.6%91 W · 52 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick65cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf2d…1100backed JD Gaming42c153.43$64 inLost-$64.4412640.5%51 W · 75 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid+5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7216…0d67backed Invictus Gaming55c91$50 inWon+$40.9510931.2%34 W · 75 L-9.2wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-34.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa9b1…242fbacked Invictus Gaming58c86.21$50 inWon+$36.2130255.6%168 W · 134 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3d20…ca2abacked Invictus Gaming62c80.64$50 inWon+$31.0113935.3%49 W · 90 L-8.9wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-18.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xaa73…c2c4backed Invictus Gaming60c70$42 inWon+$281435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-14.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x65b6…2108backed Invictus Gaming59c67.54$40 inWon+$27.549253.3%49 W · 43 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-1.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc20d…b58bbacked Invictus Gaming61c65.57$40 inWon+$25.576966.7%46 W · 23 L+5.4wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+14.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6c82…6150backed JD Gaming41c56.52$23 inLost-$23.1753954.7%295 W · 244 L+12.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf012…1a19backed Invictus Gaming57c52.63$30 inWon+$22.6338034.7%132 W · 248 L-1.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid+5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2157…3db0backed Invictus Gaming60c50$30 inWon+$201100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4010…77d4backed Invictus Gaming58c50$29 inWon+$2111637.1%43 W · 73 L-13.2wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-28.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x4fb4…8830backed JD Gaming46c43.48$20 inLost-$2012437.9%47 W · 77 L+0.5wins0.00per pick37cpaid-9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed JD Gaming43c39$17 inLost-$16.771,73144.2%765 W · 966 L-28.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb25e…39aabacked Invictus Gaming59c38.98$23 inWon+$15.9824570.6%173 W · 72 L+13.6wins+0.06per pick65cpaid+7.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6937…7340backed Invictus Gaming61c32.79$20 inWon+$12.793066.7%20 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc0af…5490backed Invictus Gaming58c29.31$17 inWon+$12.3112242.6%52 W · 70 L-7.3wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-15.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe497…84aabacked JD Gaming44c24$11 inLost-$10.5637950.9%193 W · 186 L-8.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b3c…e6cabacked Invictus Gaming60c20$12 inWon+$82272.7%16 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick67cpaid+12%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4c47…831bbacked Invictus Gaming58c17.47$10 inWon+$7.341100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.