Mls · resolved market
Inter Miami CF leading at halftime?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbc2c9d36f14546d9ddf14f17dceb9e183bf41b3235529c5497fe7797f161bc96
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,299
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,315
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,299 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 36c | 1,471$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532.57 | 530 | 40.6%215 W · 315 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 64c | 1,318$842 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476.41 | 1,270 | 48%610 W · 660 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 37c | 1,182$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.01 | 989 | 45.4%449 W · 540 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07ea…a6babacked Yes | 45c | 1,119$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfff3…e2c5backed No | 63c | 744.5$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.77 | 51 | 62.7%32 W · 19 L | +6.2wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked No | 63c | 642.31$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.08 | 146 | 52.1%76 W · 70 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked No | 65c | 611.23$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.93 | 228 | 41.7%95 W · 133 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 36c | 519$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.84 | 526 | 39.5%208 W · 318 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3a…91fdbacked No | 64c | 408.55$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.08 | 94 | 37.2%35 W · 59 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 62c | 393.39$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.49 | 871 | 54.6%476 W · 395 L | +34.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x17ef…9a2cbacked No | 63c | 208.73$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.23 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e33…45f6backed Yes | 37c | 191.86$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.99 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Yes | 36c | 180.99$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.39 | 443 | 50.6%224 W · 219 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2bb…3250backed No | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked No | 64c | 128$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.08 | 270 | 47%127 W · 143 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1010…d793backed Yes | 37c | 120$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.4 | 143 | 49%70 W · 73 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Yes | 38c | 105.26$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 36c | 78.11$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.12 | 734 | 38.1%280 W · 454 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 64c | 77.25$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.81 | 1,301 | 51.2%666 W · 635 L | -19.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 63c | 59.8$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.13 | 728 | 50.7%369 W · 359 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked No | 62c | 45.5$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.29 | 309 | 57%176 W · 133 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecdb…c4c7backed No | 64c | 32.1$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.56 | 107 | 53.3%57 W · 50 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 44c | 24.05$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.35 | 1,262 | 45.2%571 W · 691 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed No | 64c | 18.75$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.75 | 116 | 50.9%59 W · 57 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 64c | 18.32$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.59 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Inter Miami CF leading at halftime?this page
- CF Montréal leading at halftime?No won
- CF Montréal vs. Inter Miami CF: Draw at halftime?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.