Tennis · resolved market
Plovdiv: Matteo Martineau vs Petr Nesterov
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbc31d9971c99421951ea04523c6e54c5cf9922c15c2db8f955f5fbb856f773b4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Petr Nesterovof Matteo Martineau, Petr Nesterov
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,985
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,416
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,985 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Petr Nesterov | 59c | 7,311$4,307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,004.6 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Matteo Martineau | 41c | 6,322$2,592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,592 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf5…31f9backed Matteo Martineau | 43c | 1,056$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453.99 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Petr Nesterov | 57c | 999.98$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.99 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Petr Nesterov | 58c | 730.29$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.31 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef3a…1eb3backed Matteo Martineau | 46c | 602.87$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.32 | 179 | 41.3%74 W · 105 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Matteo Martineau | 42c | 599.99$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.96 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Matteo Martineau | 42c | 571.75$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Matteo Martineau | 24c | 540.32$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.42 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a0…fb89backed Matteo Martineau | 43c | 438.14$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.83 | 187 | 41.2%77 W · 110 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Petr Nesterov | 75c | 404.77$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.79 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Matteo Martineau | 4c | 323.77$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.65 | 2,065 | 35.2%727 W · 1,338 L | -52.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa99f…164bbacked Matteo Martineau | 16c | 309.45$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 275 | 28.4%78 W · 197 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0b0…5294backed Petr Nesterov | 74c | 228.45$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.18 | 458 | 50.7%232 W · 226 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cba…b694backed Matteo Martineau | 27c | 204.46$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.9 | 1,429 | 44.2%631 W · 798 L | -23.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Petr Nesterov | 57c | 199.99$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 1,541 | 49.2%758 W · 783 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Petr Nesterov | 54c | 191.16$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.93 | 1,142 | 47.3%540 W · 602 L | +65.6wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6485…a265backed Matteo Martineau | 26c | 162.88$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.48 | 2,281 | 52%1,187 W · 1,094 L | +82.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77f7…9385backed Petr Nesterov | 58c | 162.07$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.07 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Matteo Martineau | 9c | 157.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.89 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Matteo Martineau | 29c | 146.14$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.22 | 1,228 | 23.1%284 W · 944 L | -164.0wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -47%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x52be…801ebacked Petr Nesterov | 71c | 142.63$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.72 | 307 | 49.8%153 W · 154 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Matteo Martineau | 32c | 132.42$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.38 | 1,959 | 43.7%857 W · 1,102 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Petr Nesterov | 57c | 115.78$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.78 | 1,865 | 44.7%834 W · 1,031 L | +36.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x307c…d140backed Matteo Martineau | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Matteo Martineau | 41c | 97$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.77 | 2,174 | 36.9%802 W · 1,372 L | +39.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc30…ad13backed Matteo Martineau | 43c | 91.52$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.35 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ade…ed94backed Matteo Martineau | 43c | 90.91$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.09 | 1,458 | 54%787 W · 671 L | -33.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Petr Nesterov | 62c | 60.71$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.96 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x985d…33c9backed Matteo Martineau | 42c | 59.56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1,300 | 36.9%480 W · 820 L | -34.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Petr Nesterov | 57c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 678 | 48.4%328 W · 350 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c22…0a8cbacked Matteo Martineau | 33c | 46.32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.33 | 464 | 40.5%188 W · 276 L | -36.6wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -21%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0df7…1ec1backed Petr Nesterov | 59c | 40.12$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.32 | 1,853 | 57.7%1,069 W · 784 L | +106.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Matteo Martineau | 41c | 38$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.58 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Petr Nesterov | 58c | 33.17$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.01 | 1,831 | 53%971 W · 860 L | -45.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Petr Nesterov | 70c | 28.47$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.67 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Petr Nesterov | 68c | 26.81$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.49 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x237f…e76ebacked Petr Nesterov | 57c | 24.39$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.49 | 300 | 55%165 W · 135 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12d5…e65abacked Petr Nesterov | 77c | 18.16$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.21 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | +6.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.