Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: FearX vs ONSIDE GAMING (BO3) - VCL Korea: Regular Season
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbc61708bbd1b4f9be023eb9996c3fe53ec560d1aa344e61257ea004730965230
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- ONSIDE GAMINGof FearX, ONSIDE GAMING
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,693
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,693 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed FearX | 1c | 2,151$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.84 | 274 | 11.3%31 W · 243 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee8e…0a7bbacked ONSIDE GAMING | 68c | 2,121$1,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$670.7 | 781 | 62%484 W · 297 L | +16.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked ONSIDE GAMING | 69c | 1,975$1,359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$616.07 | 158 | 50%79 W · 79 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad72…4f5ebacked FearX | 30c | 1,503$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.87 | 191 | 57.1%109 W · 82 L | +23.4wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed FearX | 31c | 1,458$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.43 | 128 | 35.9%46 W · 82 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffb…a834backed FearX | 1c | 999.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed FearX | 31c | 600$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186 | 534 | 42.1%225 W · 309 L | -15.0wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef20…8f64backed FearX | 31c | 476.6$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.77 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | -4.2wins | -0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x236b…26b7backed FearX | 32c | 445$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.04 | 159 | 42.1%67 W · 92 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed FearX | 31c | 444$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.64 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d91…c930backed ONSIDE GAMING | 70c | 427.57$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.75 | 212 | 57.1%121 W · 91 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…8ac9backed FearX | 32c | 318$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.43 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | +1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9eb9…cb5dbacked FearX | 36c | 310$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.6 | 151 | 45%68 W · 83 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0c…9db8backed FearX | 32c | 300$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.7wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1a8d…ab7ebacked ONSIDE GAMING | 64c | 290$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.4 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked FearX | 30c | 260.6$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.18 | 610 | 35.9%219 W · 391 L | -17.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c64…89babacked ONSIDE GAMING | 60c | 243.82$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.65 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | +5.5wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed ONSIDE GAMING | 69c | 216.6$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.15 | 242 | 50.4%122 W · 120 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked FearX | 32c | 200$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 867 | 47.5%412 W · 455 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c7d…d1c9backed FearX | 34c | 200$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.01 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca81…f2abbacked FearX | 31c | 160$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.1 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed ONSIDE GAMING | 67c | 150$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.5 | 702 | 51.3%360 W · 342 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked FearX | 33c | 149.16$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.62 | 601 | 54.2%326 W · 275 L | +24.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa02b…70d6backed FearX | 11c | 143.91$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.83 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.15per pick | 25cpaid | +95.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked FearX | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 257 | 45.9%118 W · 139 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a22…2317backed FearX | 32c | 93.75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked FearX | 33c | 80$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 544 | 39.9%217 W · 327 L | +12.7wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc995…2224backed FearX | 32c | 78.13$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +35%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked FearX | 32c | 75$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 235 | 48.5%114 W · 121 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed ONSIDE GAMING | 68c | 70.29$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.79 | 107 | 49.5%53 W · 54 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc0…8f18backed FearX | 33c | 65$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.16 | 58 | 34.5%20 W · 38 L | -5.5wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb691…b39dbacked FearX | 47c | 56.42$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.24 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked FearX | 31c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 140 | 37.9%53 W · 87 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked FearX | 32c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 348 | 47.4%165 W · 183 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf58…711fbacked FearX | 34c | 46.35$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.55 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -4.1wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6326…6329backed FearX | 31c | 45.16$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 118 | 43.2%51 W · 67 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb04f…5822backed ONSIDE GAMING | 69c | 42.06$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.09 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x482c…4da1backed FearX | 31c | 39.73$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.32 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed ONSIDE GAMING | 68c | 38.7$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.27 | 636 | 52.7%335 W · 301 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0599…3c6abacked ONSIDE GAMING | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec15…665fbacked ONSIDE GAMING | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 40 | 27.5%11 W · 29 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c3…0566backed ONSIDE GAMING | 69c | 14.58$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.52 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.