CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs ex-RUBY - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbcb72f9cd2f0fc217de7d821cb1f12f57d774e9253e99fbd869f4efa7059c02e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nuclear TigeRESof Nuclear TigeRES, ex-RUBY
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,715
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,983
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,715 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2529…548abacked ex-RUBY | 60c | 1,850$1,103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,103.48 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed ex-RUBY | 63c | 1,556$976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$976.1 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda17…abc5backed ex-RUBY | 28c | 1,223$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.34 | 93 | 53.8%50 W · 43 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b8…50d8backed Nuclear TigeRES | 58c | 999.87$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.95 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed ex-RUBY | 38c | 657$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.66 | 204 | 40.7%83 W · 121 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Nuclear TigeRES | 39c | 639.78$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.21 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Nuclear TigeRES | 56c | 613.24$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.73 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked ex-RUBY | 70c | 563.71$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.49 | 1,398 | 48.4%676 W · 722 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e07…3545backed ex-RUBY | 13c | 549.73$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.54 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | +5.7wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5625…6c2abacked Nuclear TigeRES | 36c | 266.46$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.29 | 361 | 51.8%187 W · 174 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Nuclear TigeRES | 63c | 221.21$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.14 | 123 | 52.8%65 W · 58 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6bb…6b39backed ex-RUBY | 34c | 193.99$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.51 | 88 | 38.6%34 W · 54 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6617…29bdbacked Nuclear TigeRES | 21c | 160$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.4 | 80 | 51.3%41 W · 39 L | +7.9wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0c…51dbbacked Nuclear TigeRES | 35c | 156.92$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 401 | 48.4%194 W · 207 L | -14.5wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb98d…c479backed Nuclear TigeRES | 44c | 145$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.58 | 48 | 27.1%13 W · 35 L | -5.5wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Nuclear TigeRES | 50c | 144.14$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.5 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked ex-RUBY | 56c | 131.42$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.44 | 1,650 | 32.7%540 W · 1,110 L | -49.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Nuclear TigeRES | 44c | 121.5$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.86 | 1,109 | 50.5%560 W · 549 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed ex-RUBY | 31c | 115$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.14 | 644 | 39.8%256 W · 388 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd067…9b9abacked ex-RUBY | 47c | 110.35$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.6 | 456 | 63.6%290 W · 166 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed ex-RUBY | 42c | 109.57$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.4 | 623 | 50.9%317 W · 306 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked ex-RUBY | 58c | 108.13$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.15 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce5f…ab17backed Nuclear TigeRES | 21c | 100$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79 | 332 | 41.6%138 W · 194 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…3f41backed Nuclear TigeRES | 18c | 95.08$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.97 | 835 | 43.6%364 W · 471 L | -9.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Nuclear TigeRES | 61c | 72.97$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.57 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked Nuclear TigeRES | 31c | 64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.9 | 313 | 28.4%89 W · 224 L | -21.8wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed Nuclear TigeRES | 53c | 46.84$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.93 | 1,216 | 40.1%488 W · 728 L | -65.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed ex-RUBY | 69c | 36.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.83 | 213 | 51.2%109 W · 104 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc80…77b4backed Nuclear TigeRES | 36c | 33.28$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.3 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…fc02backed ex-RUBY | 50c | 32.59$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.38 | 559 | 50.3%281 W · 278 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b3e…5bc0backed Nuclear TigeRES | 54c | 31.33$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.41 | 153 | 58.2%89 W · 64 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b14…5301backed ex-RUBY | 67c | 31.06$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.85 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -30%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd866…55e0backed Nuclear TigeRES | 37c | 30.86$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 493 | 76.1%375 W · 118 L | +96.8wins | +0.20per pick | 56cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked ex-RUBY | 56c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.65 | 295 | 55.3%163 W · 132 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed ex-RUBY | 37c | 27$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.06 | 452 | 24.3%110 W · 342 L | -52.4wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked ex-RUBY | 58c | 23.56$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.67 | 1,315 | 51.1%672 W · 643 L | -99.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9f28…d173backed ex-RUBY | 60c | 21$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 180 | 57.2%103 W · 77 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs ex-RUBY - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs ex-RUBY (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series PlayoffsNuclear TigeRES won
- Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs ex-RUBY - Map 1 Winnerex-RUBY won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.