MLB · resolved market
Angels vs. Astros
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbcd5f2e98b514a3920605bc3c51c35f8ff47f173eb5c29dab5411fe8a28b84be
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Angelsof Angels, Astros
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $182,233
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $183,807
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $182,233 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 97 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf29b…dd4cbacked Astros | 61c | 145,022$87,972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87,972.29 | 380 | 43.4%165 W · 215 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7abe…b47ebacked Angels | 39c | 37,500$14,625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,874.99 | 228 | 52.2%119 W · 109 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Angels | 40c | 25,000$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,000 | 550 | 53.6%295 W · 255 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Angels | 39c | 24,982$9,743 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,239.05 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Angels | 39c | 20,000$7,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,200 | 269 | 49.4%133 W · 136 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x081c…f010backed Angels | 40c | 12,000$4,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,200 | 76 | 59.2%45 W · 31 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Angels | 40c | 8,084$3,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,862.21 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Angels | 39c | 6,728$2,624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,104.1 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Angels | 38c | 6,674$2,525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,149.17 | 543 | 45.5%247 W · 296 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Astros | 60c | 5,760$3,456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,456 | 163 | 47.9%78 W · 85 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f8…56b6backed Angels | 46c | 5,357$2,466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,890.76 | 217 | 47%102 W · 115 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Astros | 53c | 4,009$2,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,120.08 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x578d…fbb3backed Astros | 68c | 2,900$1,964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,963.58 | 338 | 45.9%155 W · 183 L | -15.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Angels | 40c | 2,716$1,086 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,629.6 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Angels | 40c | 2,599$1,038 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,561.46 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Angels | 38c | 2,222$844 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,377.59 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed Astros | 43c | 2,005$862 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$861.96 | 345 | 50.7%175 W · 170 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Angels | 40c | 2,000$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03cd…9fdabacked Angels | 39c | 1,554$606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$947.94 | 313 | 46.6%146 W · 167 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecba…5fb4backed Astros | 38c | 1,361$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.03 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Angels | 39c | 1,000$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Angels | 41c | 976.1$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576.1 | 652 | 48.3%315 W · 337 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Astros | 60c | 830$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13ac…2c1abacked Astros | 62c | 741.94$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Angels | 40c | 630$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378 | 436 | 54.8%239 W · 197 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Astros | 61c | 588.82$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.18 | 709 | 46.1%327 W · 382 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Astros | 38c | 552.63$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 540 | 48.3%261 W · 279 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Angels | 40c | 500$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 563 | 51%287 W · 276 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Astros | 61c | 491$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.51 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa639…1b76backed Astros | 59c | 488.4$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.16 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffc3…8fffbacked Angels | 45c | 444.63$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.63 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Angels | 40c | 400$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242 | 338 | 52.1%176 W · 162 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Astros | 54c | 384.7$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.35 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Angels | 69c | 372.64$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.03 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Angels | 55c | 371.72$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.29 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Angels | 39c | 349.97$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.48 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2a…2aaebacked Angels | 40c | 348.65$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.19 | 94 | 48.9%46 W · 48 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Angels | 74c | 336.61$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.35 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd58e…6712backed Astros | 62c | 325.2$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2719…28ddbacked Angels | 74c | 320.61$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.37 | 253 | 64.4%163 W · 90 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4201…f6edbacked Astros | 63c | 317.46$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -3.9wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Angels | 40c | 300$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Angels | 40c | 300$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Astros | 62c | 287.9$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.5 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebd8…570cbacked Angels | 62c | 280$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.4 | 439 | 46%202 W · 237 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Angels | 40c | 268.5$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.44 | 731 | 49.4%361 W · 370 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Angels | 39c | 259.99$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.6 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3df4…57dfbacked Angels | 39c | 256$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.16 | 313 | 47.9%150 W · 163 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Astros | 61c | 250.82$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc17…289abacked Angels | 40c | 250$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 179 | 46.4%83 W · 96 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Angels | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.9 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Astros | 61c | 230$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.3 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1126…4e82backed Angels | 73c | 205.05$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.05 | 600 | 52.2%313 W · 287 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Astros | 62c | 178.45$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 784 | 54.5%427 W · 357 L | +19.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3372…1914backed Astros | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,388 | 55.1%765 W · 623 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Angels | 57c | 161.97$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.56 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Astros | 62c | 150$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 121 | 52.1%63 W · 58 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf235…366dbacked Angels | 41c | 146.63$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.51 | 1,078 | 46.3%499 W · 579 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81d6…bec9backed Astros | 60c | 133.33$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c53…c9b0backed Astros | 12c | 129.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 64 | 25%16 W · 48 L | -8.0wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Angels | 38c | 127.24$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.89 | 508 | 43.3%220 W · 288 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Angels | 40c | 126.51$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.51 | 1,203 | 48.5%584 W · 619 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Angels | 40c | 125$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadc4…1ce3backed Angels | 40c | 120$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 184 | 46.2%85 W · 99 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfa…b7b1backed Astros | 61c | 98.36$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 37 | 27%10 W · 27 L | -11.5wins | -0.31per pick | 58cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 29-0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe9…9c50backed Astros | 42c | 95.24$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 81 | 59.3%48 W · 33 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Astros | 59c | 95$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.38 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee5…ca6bbacked Astros | 40c | 87.5$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 217 | 48.4%105 W · 112 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x197f…dc8dbacked Angels | 69c | 87.06$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.99 | 212 | 46.2%98 W · 114 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e9c…95a1backed Astros | 61c | 81$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.41 | 401 | 44.1%177 W · 224 L | -17.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4de9…4ab1backed Astros | 42c | 80$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…d68cbacked Astros | 58c | 73.81$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.81 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Astros | 34c | 66.71$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.78 | 457 | 32.2%147 W · 310 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…fd7fbacked Astros | 61c | 65.57$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 125 | 58.4%73 W · 52 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x175b…b14cbacked Angels | 39c | 64.1$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.1 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…06c9backed Astros | 55c | 54.28$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 232 | 48.3%112 W · 120 L | -13.1wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed Astros | 61c | 50.82$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 1,299 | 56.7%737 W · 562 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x041c…88c5backed Astros | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 187 | 50.3%94 W · 93 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Angels | 49c | 48$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.39 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe2c…4ae8backed Angels | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.51 | 240 | 51.7%124 W · 116 L | -10.8wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Astros | 62c | 45$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.9 | 695 | 47.5%330 W · 365 L | -16.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Astros | 61c | 45$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.45 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4b…94d4backed Angels | 40c | 42$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 251 | 55.4%139 W · 112 L | +14.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd774…82cdbacked Angels | 39c | 38.44$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.45 | 99 | 45.5%45 W · 54 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Angels | 79c | 38.43$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.07 | 687 | 69.6%478 W · 209 L | +60.4wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Angels | 40c | 36$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 1,466 | 44.1%647 W · 819 L | +44.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc71c…3b29backed Astros | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33b9…ed3abacked Astros | 48c | 33.26$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 85 | 30.6%26 W · 59 L | -6.1wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…4f2abacked Angels | 41c | 32.5$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.24 | 493 | 48.3%238 W · 255 L | +15.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd737…71bbbacked Astros | 60c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +4.2wins | +0.19per pick | 45cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9e63…7e29backed Angels | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 536 | 39.9%214 W · 322 L | -28.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x02c7…3df7backed Angels | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 551 | 52.5%289 W · 262 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfca9…cb3dbacked Angels | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6df4…113dbacked Angels | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70d9…26ebbacked Astros | 60c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 157 | 56.1%88 W · 69 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfae5…f940backed Astros | 60c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 816 | 51.8%423 W · 393 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6376…b6fdbacked Angels | 76c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +32%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Angels vs. Astrosthis page
- Angels vs. Astros: O/U 6.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.