Tennis · resolved market
ITF Sumter: Malaika Rapolu vs Maria Sholokhova
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbcdfaa7dfb48918a34bdb9010dcdf672734a422c0e33ea3b0c1ea127ab938b86
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Malaika Rapoluof Malaika Rapolu, Maria Sholokhova
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,782
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,252
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,782 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Maria Sholokhova | 9c | 3,616$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.28 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Maria Sholokhova | 5c | 2,495$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.75 | 3,661 | 45.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Maria Sholokhova | 12c | 891.35$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.96 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Maria Sholokhova | 35c | 609.65$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.38 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Malaika Rapolu | 63c | 488.44$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.66 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Maria Sholokhova | 43c | 422.3$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.11 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf1…99d3backed Malaika Rapolu | 72c | 416.88$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.88 | 386 | 52.3%202 W · 184 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x692b…b4f2backed Malaika Rapolu | 65c | 386.77$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.37 | 457 | 44.2%202 W · 255 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2409…215ebacked Maria Sholokhova | 39c | 317.68$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 244 | 50.8%124 W · 120 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Maria Sholokhova | 24c | 275.95$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.35 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7c7…3b08backed Malaika Rapolu | 65c | 270.1$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.23 | 509 | 58%295 W · 214 L | -26.5wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…e97cbacked Malaika Rapolu | 56c | 266.38$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.38 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Malaika Rapolu | 65c | 252.37$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.36 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed Maria Sholokhova | 36c | 210$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.6 | 197 | 40.6%80 W · 117 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Maria Sholokhova | 26c | 196.08$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.66 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Maria Sholokhova | 35c | 192.46$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.88 | 1,487 | 47.5%706 W · 781 L | -19.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Malaika Rapolu | 72c | 190.88$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.94 | 668 | 34.3%229 W · 439 L | -43.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Maria Sholokhova | 35c | 190.16$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.73 | 1,459 | 50.1%731 W · 728 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Malaika Rapolu | 78c | 160.25$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.9 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc17d…2134backed Malaika Rapolu | 62c | 143.73$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.98 | 41 | 65.9%27 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Maria Sholokhova | 20c | 136.35$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.87 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bd…e48fbacked Maria Sholokhova | 49c | 126.09$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.9 | 150 | 53.3%80 W · 70 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Malaika Rapolu | 56c | 124$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.32 | 1,655 | 50.1%829 W · 826 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9888…e6febacked Malaika Rapolu | 51c | 114.16$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.74 | 2,447 | 45.9%1,123 W · 1,324 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Malaika Rapolu | 69c | 87$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.89 | 1,880 | 48.5%912 W · 968 L | +8.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Maria Sholokhova | 35c | 63.08$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.08 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Malaika Rapolu | 68c | 61.95$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.91 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Maria Sholokhova | 57c | 61.54$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 2,601 | 46.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L | +18.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2965…0dedbacked Malaika Rapolu | 65c | 60.23$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 585 | 39.5%231 W · 354 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c7d…b743backed Malaika Rapolu | 65c | 46.15$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.15 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee84…becbbacked Maria Sholokhova | 24c | 44.96$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.64 | 239 | 42.7%102 W · 137 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8711…d2d0backed Maria Sholokhova | 57c | 35.35$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 433 | 58.4%253 W · 180 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x661e…48efbacked Malaika Rapolu | 62c | 32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.24 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…0a73backed Malaika Rapolu | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 940 | 58.4%549 W · 391 L | +21.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f3…d6dcbacked Malaika Rapolu | 74c | 22.07$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.74 | 870 | 60.2%524 W · 346 L | +28.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.