MLB · resolved market
KBO: KT Wiz vs. SSG Landers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbcffc8fa00ab15e6b022eae97b48fabb1ce5575def506602c01a8e2a156bf118
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- KT Wizof KT Wiz, SSG Landers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,381
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,232
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,381 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8180…208bbacked KT Wiz | 48c | 942.62$452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.25 | 181 | 51.4%93 W · 88 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed SSG Landers | 56c | 836.47$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468.42 | 1,292 | 50.2%648 W · 644 L | +18.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed KT Wiz | 45c | 499.94$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.97 | 591 | 50.3%297 W · 294 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed SSG Landers | 52c | 470$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.4 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked SSG Landers | 54c | 457.49$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.75 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked SSG Landers | 25c | 404.49$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.23 | 98 | 37.8%37 W · 61 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed SSG Landers | 18c | 375.04$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.98 | 1,522 | 34.7%528 W · 994 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c59…ad51backed SSG Landers | 54c | 306.13$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.31 | 215 | 45.6%98 W · 117 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x485a…a7c3backed KT Wiz | 44c | 298.71$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.28 | 68 | 48.5%33 W · 35 L | -6.0wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x09ad…819ebacked KT Wiz | 80c | 247$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.4 | 61 | 55.7%34 W · 27 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed SSG Landers | 25c | 238.86$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57e5…e51ebacked SSG Landers | 38c | 190.88$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.83 | 228 | 48.2%110 W · 118 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed SSG Landers | 54c | 160.65$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.54 | 443 | 48.5%215 W · 228 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…30a4backed KT Wiz | 43c | 158.41$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.46 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed KT Wiz | 61c | 117.23$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.33 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa182…3106backed KT Wiz | 70c | 113.63$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.09 | 69 | 62.3%43 W · 26 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked SSG Landers | 11c | 104.72$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 374 | 44.4%166 W · 208 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a80…141fbacked SSG Landers | 52c | 92.36$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.31 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | -5.9wins | -0.21per pick | 43cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x05c5…8181backed SSG Landers | 59c | 82.82$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.77 | 139 | 51.8%72 W · 67 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed SSG Landers | 55c | 80.75$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.41 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked SSG Landers | 57c | 78.91$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.98 | 256 | 48%123 W · 133 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked KT Wiz | 46c | 66$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.64 | 722 | 47.6%344 W · 378 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed KT Wiz | 45c | 64.52$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.64 | 1,168 | 49%572 W · 596 L | +17.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01cb…8c1ebacked KT Wiz | 47c | 61.24$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.18 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -21%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed KT Wiz | 52c | 60.95$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 873 | 52.7%460 W · 413 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5887…994ebacked KT Wiz | 76c | 59.42$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.51 | 86 | 43%37 W · 49 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed SSG Landers | 54c | 54.45$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.41 | 1,053 | 47.3%498 W · 555 L | -14.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f5…bb11backed KT Wiz | 46c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 559 | 53.1%297 W · 262 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked KT Wiz | 46c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c7…c6bdbacked KT Wiz | 44c | 49.83$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.91 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4add…8f36backed KT Wiz | 60c | 48.8$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.52 | 118 | 55.9%66 W · 52 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed KT Wiz | 50c | 43.54$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.76 | 950 | 41.5%394 W · 556 L | -48.3wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb1…8436backed KT Wiz | 48c | 40.47$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.09 | 276 | 44.9%124 W · 152 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x768d…d230backed SSG Landers | 35c | 38.44$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.38 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked SSG Landers | 55c | 37.37$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.73 | 524 | 49%257 W · 267 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked SSG Landers | 56c | 37.15$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.74 | 418 | 47.6%199 W · 219 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a0e…b0babacked SSG Landers | 56c | 34.77$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.47 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | -6.1wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x35d1…1f70backed SSG Landers | 55c | 31.2$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.17 | 225 | 54.7%123 W · 102 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x660b…9852backed KT Wiz | 71c | 27.1$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.86 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c2…b14dbacked KT Wiz | 62c | 23.45$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.91 | 1,149 | 48.9%562 W · 587 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ac9…1462backed KT Wiz | 63c | 23.28$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.61 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.