Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Reignite vs QT DIG (BO3) - VCL Japan: Phase 1
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbd04ff9bdec87b9f872d12cb0068fba58b73e2fbb3e2c7160ffdaebab8743231
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- QT DIGof Reignite, QT DIG
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,130
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,375
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,130 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6c64…89babacked Reignite | 16c | 1,412$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.5 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | +5.5wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Reignite | 48c | 986$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.28 | 158 | 50%79 W · 79 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Reignite | 42c | 874.92$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.47 | 610 | 35.9%219 W · 391 L | -17.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Reignite | 32c | 806.8$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.01 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef20…8f64backed Reignite | 46c | 650$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.9 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | -4.2wins | -0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed QT DIG | 52c | 555$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.3 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64f8…d21abacked Reignite | 48c | 446.28$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x338c…1b33backed QT DIG | 53c | 390.27$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.27 | 109 | 56%61 W · 48 L | +7.4wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked QT DIG | 46c | 357.74$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.85 | 867 | 47.5%412 W · 455 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6897…a0a4backed QT DIG | 58c | 349.6$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.14 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.3wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +67.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6326…6329backed Reignite | 47c | 349.43$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.23 | 118 | 43.2%51 W · 67 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed QT DIG | 53c | 345.42$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.89 | 702 | 51.3%360 W · 342 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa11d…72a8backed QT DIG | 54c | 300$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee8e…0a7bbacked QT DIG | 51c | 256.14$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.59 | 781 | 62%484 W · 297 L | +16.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked QT DIG | 52c | 219.97$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.65 | 348 | 47.4%165 W · 183 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddc…9c0fbacked QT DIG | 50c | 202$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101 | 82 | 43.9%36 W · 46 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a5…c602backed Reignite | 50c | 171.03$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.3 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked QT DIG | 50c | 168.32$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.91 | 119 | 55.5%66 W · 53 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd20f…2f35backed Reignite | 55c | 165.91$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Reignite | 50c | 139.36$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.5 | 601 | 54.2%326 W · 275 L | +24.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Reignite | 47c | 106.49$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 111 | 52.3%58 W · 53 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1349…dc1fbacked Reignite | 55c | 101.03$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.79 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -2.8wins | -0.16per pick | 58cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed QT DIG | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 636 | 52.7%335 W · 301 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0a…7858backed Reignite | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +2.5wins | +0.18per pick | 25cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeca1…57e4backed Reignite | 53c | 98.42$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.25 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Reignite | 46c | 85$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.85 | 544 | 39.9%217 W · 327 L | +12.7wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Reignite | 46c | 80.01$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.09 | 90 | 37.8%34 W · 56 L | -5.8wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -19%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1769…94efbacked Reignite | 46c | 69.98$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.19 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | -5.5wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe564…221abacked QT DIG | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 152 | 32.9%50 W · 102 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc2…7ed7backed Reignite | 46c | 54.35$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa739…e31abacked QT DIG | 68c | 51.31$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.33 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed QT DIG | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 107 | 49.5%53 W · 54 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6cd…e027backed QT DIG | 58c | 47.78$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 278 | 47.1%131 W · 147 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1f…aa39backed QT DIG | 71c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.6 | 75 | 65.3%49 W · 26 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbda…8bd5backed Reignite | 49c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 105 | 50.5%53 W · 52 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3308…f04bbacked QT DIG | 55c | 36.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.57 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a18…d98cbacked Reignite | 53c | 24.7$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d1c…0e0cbacked QT DIG | 54c | 24.56$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.3 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +71.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe00d…4251backed QT DIG | 59c | 22.03$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.03 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2639…a9b6backed QT DIG | 50c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.