Tennis · resolved market
Palermo: Anastasia Abbagnato vs Clara Burel
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbda748cee9bdc692fdb23cc5f69cd98b41fdad87ebf13970f5a8851c082b6e37
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Clara Burelof Anastasia Abbagnato, Clara Burel
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $130,410
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $139,601
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $130,410 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5c14…5a2bbacked Anastasia Abbagnato | 4c | 28,387$1,235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,235.48 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Anastasia Abbagnato | 4c | 5,130$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.45 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Anastasia Abbagnato | 3c | 4,957$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.71 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Anastasia Abbagnato | 3c | 4,811$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.32 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Anastasia Abbagnato | 5c | 4,244$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.2 | 2,061 | 48.6%1,002 W · 1,059 L | +35.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe85d…ad4bbacked Anastasia Abbagnato | 4c | 2,028$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.72 | 196 | 26%51 W · 145 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a51…1e9fbacked Anastasia Abbagnato | 6c | 1,167$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 218 | 42.2%92 W · 126 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a31…ddc0backed Anastasia Abbagnato | 6c | 1,133$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc367…a0b4backed Anastasia Abbagnato | 2c | 951.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 464 | 35.3%164 W · 300 L | -19.0wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3462…de48backed Anastasia Abbagnato | 5c | 945.05$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Anastasia Abbagnato | 6c | 797.5$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.85 | 1,435 | 24.3%348 W · 1,087 L | -36.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Anastasia Abbagnato | 4c | 501.81$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.07 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…f46abacked Anastasia Abbagnato | 5c | 499.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 116 | 46.6%54 W · 62 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a1…ceb5backed Anastasia Abbagnato | 6c | 450$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 82 | 34.1%28 W · 54 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Anastasia Abbagnato | 5c | 434.6$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.38 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed Anastasia Abbagnato | 3c | 404$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.12 | 301 | 32.9%99 W · 202 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Anastasia Abbagnato | 6c | 387.79$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.57 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc98f…a13fbacked Anastasia Abbagnato | 3c | 374$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.22 | 213 | 17.4%37 W · 176 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Anastasia Abbagnato | 5c | 350.22$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.33 | 877 | 41.3%362 W · 515 L | -14.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Anastasia Abbagnato | 5c | 300$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2,247 | 42.7%960 W · 1,287 L | +33.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4093…5749backed Anastasia Abbagnato | 5c | 295.79$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.79 | 2,855 | 49.4%1,410 W · 1,445 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeec3…6bd2backed Anastasia Abbagnato | 8c | 260$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.27per pick | 61cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Anastasia Abbagnato | 6c | 236.28$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.32 | 2,854 | 39.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L | -83.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefa3…7585backed Anastasia Abbagnato | 5c | 236$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 101 | 58.4%59 W · 42 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa982…09f1backed Anastasia Abbagnato | 5c | 199.98$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Anastasia Abbagnato | 6c | 195.8$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.65 | 937 | 40.6%380 W · 557 L | -32.2wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd1…f311backed Anastasia Abbagnato | 7c | 175$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 255 | 51%130 W · 125 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Palermo: Anastasia Abbagnato vs Clara Burelthis page
- Set 1 Winner: Abbagnato vs BurelBurel won
- Set Handicap: Burel (-1.5) vs Abbagnato (+1.5)Burel won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.