Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
New Haven Chargers vs. Stonehill Skyhawks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbde57ce9760946dedd0a32c1421d841a6887fb5bad59438df68ed9da30f606de
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- New Haven Chargersof New Haven Chargers, Stonehill Skyhawks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,708
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,188
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,708 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Stonehill Skyhawks | 2c | 6,965$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.31 | 691 | 42.8%296 W · 395 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Stonehill Skyhawks | 7c | 4,280$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.83 | 1,173 | 25.2%296 W · 877 L | -43.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked New Haven Chargers | 57c | 3,506$2,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,497.85 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Stonehill Skyhawks | 43c | 2,450$1,061 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,061 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked New Haven Chargers | 45c | 1,221$544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$676.53 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff0b…befabacked Stonehill Skyhawks | 29c | 891.69$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.89 | 102 | 44.1%45 W · 57 L | -8.8wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed New Haven Chargers | 49c | 838.49$411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.63 | 556 | 57.4%319 W · 237 L | +20.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd98f…5d9abacked Stonehill Skyhawks | 67c | 706.95$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.58 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Stonehill Skyhawks | 7c | 610.04$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.51 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Stonehill Skyhawks | 55c | 500$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Stonehill Skyhawks | 57c | 421.42$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.05 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed Stonehill Skyhawks | 33c | 241$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.45 | 369 | 42.3%156 W · 213 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed New Haven Chargers | 50c | 178$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.64 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed New Haven Chargers | 43c | 132.87$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.07 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Stonehill Skyhawks | 31c | 130.28$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.77 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Stonehill Skyhawks | 57c | 90$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.11 | 323 | 43%139 W · 184 L | -18.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -23%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Stonehill Skyhawks | 51c | 69$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.94 | 614 | 46.1%283 W · 331 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Stonehill Skyhawks | 50c | 57.37$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.81 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Stonehill Skyhawks | 37c | 57$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.19 | 456 | 44.5%203 W · 253 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72ea…d4f2backed New Haven Chargers | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 217 | 46.1%100 W · 117 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed New Haven Chargers | 50c | 28$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 200 | 51.5%103 W · 97 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf702…7cc8backed Stonehill Skyhawks | 54c | 25.93$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 175 | 44%77 W · 98 L | -13.5wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed New Haven Chargers | 51c | 22.45$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.07 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed New Haven Chargers | 52c | 20.4$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.79 | 190 | 55.3%105 W · 85 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.