Asian League · resolved market
Al Ahli Saudi Club vs. Abha Saudi Club: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbde993ba05ea94a661360add51c6aa0918ce0ea7b08da1b73a975544798e3c3a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,634
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,683
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,634 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 28c | 1,208$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.16 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 1c | 1,165$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.67 | 1,647 | 36.2%596 W · 1,051 L | -34.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 75c | 727.61$544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.27 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 75c | 332.99$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.74 | 892 | 45%401 W · 491 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Under | 62c | 307.1$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.99 | 197 | 53.8%106 W · 91 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 25c | 264.88$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.22 | 693 | 52.2%362 W · 331 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Over | 43c | 125$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.14 | 144 | 40.3%58 W · 86 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5981…3934backed Over | 26c | 69.77$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.14 | 197 | 51.8%102 W · 95 L | +15.3wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0011…4333backed Over | 62c | 65$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.22 | 29 | 75.9%22 W · 7 L | +4.8wins | +0.17per pick | 59cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3c52…99e1backed Under | 76c | 52.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.63 | 82 | 65.9%54 W · 28 L | -6.7wins | -0.08per pick | 74cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 31c | 45.07$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.75 | 426 | 25.8%110 W · 316 L | -33.7wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -40%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x79fd…78cebacked Under | 77c | 34.97$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.04 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -4.1wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 74c | 33.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.45 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Under | 67c | 32.65$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.69 | 271 | 48%130 W · 141 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Over | 76c | 30$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.65 | 149 | 49%73 W · 76 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8084…abe8backed Under | 76c | 28.95$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.95 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 78cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 64c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 441 | 52.4%231 W · 210 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Under | 51c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.76 | 119 | 52.9%63 W · 56 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 64c | 20.66$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.39 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Under | 76c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.84 | 181 | 61.9%112 W · 69 L | +9.4wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Al Ahli Saudi Club vs. Abha Saudi Club: O/U 4.5this page
- Al Ahli Saudi Club vs. Abha Saudi Club: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Al Ahli Saudi Club vs. Abha Saudi Club: O/U 2.5Over won
- Al Ahli Saudi Club vs. Abha Saudi Club: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Al Ahli Saudi Club (-1.5)Al Ahli Saudi Club won
- Spread: Al Ahli Saudi Club (-2.5)Al Ahli Saudi Club won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.