TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Western Michigan Broncos vs. Akron Zips

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Akron Zipsof Western Michigan Broncos, Akron Zips
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$39,851
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$38,948

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,851 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9731…9b35backed Western Michigan Broncos4c2,589$116 inLost-$115.791,63347.3%773 W · 860 L+25.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xea81…eeaebacked Western Michigan Broncos5c999.26$49 inLost-$48.511,22727.8%341 W · 886 L-0.9wins0.00per pick28cpaid-10.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed Western Michigan Broncos4c657.64$28 inLost-$27.7918147%85 W · 96 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0eb8…753bbacked Western Michigan Broncos24c655.93$160 inLost-$1605018%9 W · 41 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick22cpaid-43%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Western Michigan Broncos8c349.8$29 inLost-$29.014,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Western Michigan Broncos5c313.7$15 inLost-$15.0629012.1%35 W · 255 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick14cpaid-53.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Western Michigan Broncos5c307$16 inLost-$15.542,57947.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L-42.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a8e…b505backed Akron Zips73c255.19$186 inWon+$69.5948051%245 W · 235 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0cb2…71a8backed Western Michigan Broncos5c222.54$11 inLost-$10.9310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Akron Zips77c175.53$136 inWon+$39.832,12450.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Akron Zips76c164.89$126 inWon+$39.361,49348.7%727 W · 766 L-1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-19.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x85f7…fb66backed Western Michigan Broncos7c162.7$11 inLost-$11.193613.9%5 W · 31 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick18cpaid-10.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x40e2…b0a7backed Western Michigan Broncos19c137.49$26 inLost-$26.127965.8%52 W · 27 L+8.9wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+9.9%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0x0097…f101backed Western Michigan Broncos30c116.19$35 inLost-$354126.8%11 W · 30 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-22.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Western Michigan Broncos16c107.9$17 inLost-$174833.3%16 W · 32 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-14.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Western Michigan Broncos28c63.81$18 inLost-$18.023,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5f19…ec51backed Akron Zips76c15$11 inWon+$3.5422050.5%111 W · 109 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-7.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.