Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Akron Zips (-19.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x464523bfe2ba8b9c5175aefef6861a971dfcb1f5d8fed32748952ae28e19a30d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Western Michigan Broncosof Akron Zips, Western Michigan Broncos
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $420,719
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $420,355
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $420,719 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Akron Zips | 51c | 384,025$197,469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197,468.76 | 359 | 45.1%162 W · 197 L | -24.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Western Michigan Broncos | 49c | 200,000$98,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102,000 | 896 | 45.9%411 W · 485 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Western Michigan Broncos | 48c | 156,536$75,137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81,398.69 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Western Michigan Broncos | 49c | 19,989$9,745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,244.1 | 906 | 45.4%411 W · 495 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4366…c73ebacked Western Michigan Broncos | 49c | 6,989$3,424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,564.27 | 73 | 53.4%39 W · 34 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ba4…8a89backed Western Michigan Broncos | 48c | 4,800$2,304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,496 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -3.0wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed Western Michigan Broncos | 46c | 3,722$1,712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,009.74 | 262 | 54.2%142 W · 120 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7516…8bebbacked Western Michigan Broncos | 48c | 3,073$1,475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,597.78 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Western Michigan Broncos | 49c | 3,000$1,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,530 | 170 | 50.6%86 W · 84 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07bc…393abacked Western Michigan Broncos | 48c | 1,606$771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$835.31 | 83 | 51.8%43 W · 40 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Akron Zips | 51c | 1,470$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749.55 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Akron Zips | 51c | 1,367$699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.06 | 605 | 48.9%296 W · 309 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Western Michigan Broncos | 49c | 1,288$634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$653.95 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Akron Zips | 52c | 1,287$671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$670.63 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x006c…16eabacked Akron Zips | 50c | 843.25$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.53 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Akron Zips | 49c | 639.79$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.41 | 141 | 51.1%72 W · 69 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Akron Zips | 51c | 494$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.94 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Western Michigan Broncos | 49c | 311.77$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.91 | 350 | 50.3%176 W · 174 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Western Michigan Broncos | 50c | 258.92$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.25 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50ba…5435backed Western Michigan Broncos | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7140…47e3backed Western Michigan Broncos | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 200 | 46.5%93 W · 107 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53cd…f23ebacked Western Michigan Broncos | 51c | 160.63$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.71 | 87 | 50.6%44 W · 43 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3951…c5b2backed Western Michigan Broncos | 51c | 156.78$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.82 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Western Michigan Broncos | 50c | 150$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 891 | 46.2%412 W · 479 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc27f…12a9backed Western Michigan Broncos | 48c | 114$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.18 | 72 | 52.8%38 W · 34 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd730…1948backed Western Michigan Broncos | 51c | 92.35$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.45 | 196 | 53.1%104 W · 92 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72f4…579fbacked Western Michigan Broncos | 48c | 76.44$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.75 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc981…a53dbacked Western Michigan Broncos | 51c | 60.47$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.63 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc54f…dce8backed Akron Zips | 51c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 643 | 22.9%147 W · 496 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9aea…5590backed Western Michigan Broncos | 49c | 45$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.95 | 158 | 44.3%70 W · 88 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c1c…b4f1backed Western Michigan Broncos | 49c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -5.9wins | -0.33per pick | 50cpaid | -66%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Western Michigan Broncos | 50c | 22.69$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.35 | 1,296 | 45.1%584 W · 712 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Akron Zips (-19.5)this page
- Spread: Akron Zips (-18.5)Western Michigan Broncos won
- Western Michigan Broncos vs. Akron ZipsAkron Zips won
- Western Michigan Broncos vs. Akron Zips: O/U 165.5Over won
- Western Michigan Broncos vs. Akron Zips: O/U 167.5Over won
- Western Michigan Broncos vs. Akron Zips: O/U 168.5Over won
- Western Michigan Broncos vs. Akron Zips: O/U 169.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.