Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Akron Zips (-18.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa5152136846306be12e3da6cf0aa965d285699741677950666c7feea1fdcf2b2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Western Michigan Broncosof Akron Zips, Western Michigan Broncos
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,358
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,422
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,358 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Western Michigan Broncos | 46c | 12,500$5,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,750 | 906 | 45.4%411 W · 495 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Akron Zips | 53c | 10,610$5,641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,640.71 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d76…9168backed Western Michigan Broncos | 47c | 7,500$3,525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,975 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Akron Zips | 53c | 5,283$2,810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,809.76 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Akron Zips | 54c | 2,892$1,562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,561.52 | 898 | 50%449 W · 449 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Akron Zips | 54c | 2,293$1,238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,238.22 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Western Michigan Broncos | 49c | 2,131$1,044 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,087 | 691 | 42.8%296 W · 395 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Akron Zips | 53c | 735$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.55 | 605 | 48.9%296 W · 309 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Akron Zips | 57c | 516$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.12 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…3782backed Akron Zips | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 359 | 45.1%162 W · 197 L | -24.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Western Michigan Broncos | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 1,070 | 46.9%502 W · 568 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2165…f598backed Western Michigan Broncos | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 146 | 54.1%79 W · 67 L | +7.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04b4…8d0bbacked Western Michigan Broncos | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 90 | 45.6%41 W · 49 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Western Michigan Broncos | 45c | 57.2$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.34 | 754 | 47.1%355 W · 399 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70b1…73b2backed Akron Zips | 55c | 45.38$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.96 | 91 | 51.6%47 W · 44 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Akron Zips | 37c | 44.56$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.28 | 1,296 | 45.1%584 W · 712 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72ea…d4f2backed Akron Zips | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 217 | 46.1%100 W · 117 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9487…54bbbacked Western Michigan Broncos | 45c | 33.33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.33 | 362 | 48.6%176 W · 186 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Western Michigan Broncos | 45c | 29.9$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.35 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4863…805bbacked Western Michigan Broncos | 45c | 26.67$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.67 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Akron Zips | 55c | 26.49$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.57 | 51 | 27.5%14 W · 37 L | -7.1wins | -0.14per pick | 41cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Akron Zips (-18.5)this page
- Spread: Akron Zips (-19.5)Western Michigan Broncos won
- Western Michigan Broncos vs. Akron ZipsAkron Zips won
- Western Michigan Broncos vs. Akron Zips: O/U 165.5Over won
- Western Michigan Broncos vs. Akron Zips: O/U 167.5Over won
- Western Michigan Broncos vs. Akron Zips: O/U 168.5Over won
- Western Michigan Broncos vs. Akron Zips: O/U 169.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.