Other European Leagues · resolved market
Alanyaspor vs. Eyüpspor: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbe6e88b38d8cc74fd49b62585ff58e75cb35ee3d9639b85ad123680b3eaa3361
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,910
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,707
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,910 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 44c | 6,556$2,853 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,852.83 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Over | 65c | 4,227$2,736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,491.23 | 371 | 49.6%184 W · 187 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 47c | 2,222$1,044 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,177.63 | 376 | 41.5%156 W · 220 L | -17.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 42c | 1,376$581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$581.48 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Over | 51c | 1,111$567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$544.39 | 65 | 41.5%27 W · 38 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 44c | 938.24$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.01 | 1,098 | 50.5%554 W · 544 L | -36.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…307dbacked Over | 52c | 854.61$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.53 | 71 | 62%44 W · 27 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 29c | 834.08$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.86 | 648 | 42%272 W · 376 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0666…d31abacked Over | 70c | 685.71$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.71 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.18per pick | 56cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Over | 48c | 623.99$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.48 | 135 | 28.9%39 W · 96 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 50c | 555.5$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.75 | 490 | 46.9%230 W · 260 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dad…a040backed Over | 74c | 473.94$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.94 | 88 | 73.9%65 W · 23 L | +8.0wins | +0.09per pick | 65cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Under | 53c | 398.53$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.02 | 853 | 40.1%342 W · 511 L | -12.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 47c | 380.8$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.17 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4157…04f9backed Over | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.37 | 115 | 48.7%56 W · 59 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a76…b30fbacked Over | 74c | 337.84$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.84 | 87 | 46%40 W · 47 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8624…768cbacked Over | 75c | 243$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.12 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 72cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0192…86f3backed Under | 39c | 230.67$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.03 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…f012backed Under | 30c | 176.93$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.08 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8918…f4e4backed Over | 46c | 150.16$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.79 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06a0…5804backed Over | 59c | 127.12$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.12 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Over | 63c | 126.46$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.79 | 83 | 38.6%32 W · 51 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcf…402abacked Over | 50c | 120$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 167 | 25.7%43 W · 124 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 57c | 118.4$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.07 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd5…ef85backed Over | 48c | 117.87$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.74 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ad7…c097backed Over | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed Under | 52c | 79.14$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.05 | 64 | 39.1%25 W · 39 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 278 | 64.4%179 W · 99 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafdd…ae76backed Under | 49c | 67.35$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51dd…c727backed Under | 39c | 53.4$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.62 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c16…630fbacked Over | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7418…ab9fbacked Over | 55c | 44.78$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.15 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +3.5wins | +0.21per pick | 38cpaid | +74.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0f85…87d5backed Under | 37c | 44.34$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.51 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 73c | 41.1$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 398 | 50%199 W · 199 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09c0…5c96backed Under | 65c | 39.95$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9b…829ebacked Over | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 215 | 40.5%87 W · 128 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa15…95e3backed Under | 30c | 33.4$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.02 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -3.4wins | -0.38per pick | 49cpaid | -83.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x480e…a98bbacked Under | 47c | 31.91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa0…441abacked Over | 47c | 23.28$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.34 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +5.0wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb1e2…66e2backed Over | 69c | 21.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.74 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -5.6wins | -0.15per pick | 61cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Alanyaspor vs. Eyüpspor: O/U 2.5this page
- Alanyaspor vs. Eyüpspor: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Alanyaspor vs. Eyüpspor: O/U 1.5Over won
- Alanyaspor vs. Eyüpspor: O/U 3.5Over won
- Alanyaspor vs. Eyüpspor: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.