College Football · resolved market
West Virginia vs. Ohio
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbe92190854837f229d8edf1c717679c94b40f238b5ec2b4e7dc3dfce8499f1c9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ohioof West Virginia, Ohio
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,068
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,907
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,068 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked West Virginia | 60c | 8,994$5,402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,402.02 | 684 | 40.8%279 W · 405 L | -10.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Ohio | 80c | 1,556$1,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.76 | 118 | 55.9%66 W · 52 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Ohio | 38c | 1,445$548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$896.66 | 405 | 49.4%200 W · 205 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Ohio | 42c | 1,393$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$807.72 | 237 | 51.1%121 W · 116 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Ohio | 37c | 1,268$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$798.47 | 494 | 43.7%216 W · 278 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44a0…c3b9backed Ohio | 36c | 1,200$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$771.12 | 117 | 35.9%42 W · 75 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked West Virginia | 61c | 1,122$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$689.74 | 292 | 49%143 W · 149 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x197f…dc8dbacked Ohio | 58c | 1,050$613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.05 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd4a…048ebacked Ohio | 38c | 1,000$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +67.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Ohio | 38c | 765.27$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476.03 | 1,090 | 41.7%455 W · 635 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed West Virginia | 27c | 696.38$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.45 | 648 | 41.2%267 W · 381 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0d9…da5ebacked West Virginia | 75c | 669.3$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 66cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Ohio | 37c | 577.7$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.19 | 227 | 50.7%115 W · 112 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed West Virginia | 56c | 553.97$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.62 | 553 | 50.3%278 W · 275 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Ohio | 39c | 500$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305 | 135 | 31.9%43 W · 92 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed West Virginia | 6c | 488.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.71 | 237 | 0.8%2 W · 235 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -98.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Ohio | 40c | 462.52$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.79 | 503 | 58.1%292 W · 211 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60e6…9e8abacked Ohio | 36c | 453.04$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.94 | 45 | 62.2%28 W · 17 L | +8.9wins | +0.20per pick | 42cpaid | +53.4%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked West Virginia | 48c | 451.83$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.16 | 628 | 43.6%274 W · 354 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Ohio | 71c | 438.61$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.23 | 267 | 50.9%136 W · 131 L | +21.7wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdf72…a19fbacked West Virginia | 60c | 333.33$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked West Virginia | 59c | 329$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.29 | 818 | 47.9%392 W · 426 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebd…3b11backed West Virginia | 70c | 220$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Ohio | 39c | 200$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122 | 102 | 42.2%43 W · 59 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked West Virginia | 60c | 169$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.45 | 65 | 41.5%27 W · 38 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed West Virginia | 20c | 150$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.95 | 862 | 43.7%377 W · 485 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Ohio | 41c | 139.56$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.56 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5913…3bbebacked West Virginia | 49c | 102.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.87 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Ohio | 39c | 100$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.1 | 473 | 31.5%149 W · 324 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked West Virginia | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.5 | 571 | 44.7%255 W · 316 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96b5…9718backed West Virginia | 64c | 97.16$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e62…1e28backed West Virginia | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked West Virginia | 61c | 75$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.75 | 183 | 38.8%71 W · 112 L | -12.3wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8272…541dbacked West Virginia | 60c | 55.31$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +3.1wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a4f…c4f2backed Ohio | 74c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Ohio | 74c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.4 | 108 | 51.9%56 W · 52 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Ohio | 38c | 36$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.32 | 103 | 40.8%42 W · 61 L | +6.2wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed West Virginia | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 148 | 36.5%54 W · 94 L | -11.5wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked Ohio | 38c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.6 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0af8…9454backed West Virginia | 63c | 25.4$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb579…f458backed Ohio | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 126 | 41.3%52 W · 74 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde50…ca66backed Ohio | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 72cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- West Virginia vs. Ohiothis page
- Spread: West Virginia (-3.5)Ohio won
- West Virginia vs. Ohio: O/U 59.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.