Tennis · resolved market
ITF Rochester: Dakotah Bobo vs Muhammad Shoaib
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbecf2a1c444b1784037b037182a2fb2a308db51d095418021c8ae46df49dbf44
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Dakotah Boboof Dakotah Bobo, Muhammad Shoaib
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,750
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,026
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,750 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Muhammad Shoaib | 16c | 3,144$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511.74 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Muhammad Shoaib | 44c | 599.96$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.98 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9da…01c0backed Dakotah Bobo | 56c | 512.62$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +79.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Dakotah Bobo | 59c | 417.86$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.32 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Muhammad Shoaib | 48c | 401.2$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.58 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cff…3984backed Dakotah Bobo | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.14 | 182 | 58.8%107 W · 75 L | +9.3wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Muhammad Shoaib | 41c | 273.16$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Muhammad Shoaib | 48c | 214.02$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.73 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Muhammad Shoaib | 40c | 182.8$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.12 | 288 | 50.3%145 W · 143 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf9…8292backed Dakotah Bobo | 55c | 177.73$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.98 | 588 | 57.7%339 W · 249 L | +20.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6717…d6ebbacked Dakotah Bobo | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 363 | 49.6%180 W · 183 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Muhammad Shoaib | 44c | 119.5$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.28 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Muhammad Shoaib | 38c | 106.82$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.59 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e69…553abacked Dakotah Bobo | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 923 | 55.8%515 W · 408 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66ac…5e75backed Dakotah Bobo | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 942 | 55.8%526 W · 416 L | +19.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x186a…559dbacked Dakotah Bobo | 57c | 88.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.38 | 449 | 52.8%237 W · 212 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd95…143fbacked Muhammad Shoaib | 12c | 87.96$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.98 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ebc…89c8backed Muhammad Shoaib | 45c | 86.97$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.13 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Muhammad Shoaib | 41c | 84.52$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.92 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb25e…6deabacked Dakotah Bobo | 59c | 83.9$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.4 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Muhammad Shoaib | 38c | 82.81$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.61 | 739 | 51.7%382 W · 357 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc7d…2c2cbacked Muhammad Shoaib | 21c | 64.95$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.87 | 108 | 29.6%32 W · 76 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f34…ed6abacked Dakotah Bobo | 56c | 60$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.3 | 397 | 51.4%204 W · 193 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160a…43d3backed Dakotah Bobo | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.69 | 55 | 34.5%19 W · 36 L | -8.8wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x81a9…df08backed Dakotah Bobo | 59c | 55.9$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.92 | 265 | 46.4%123 W · 142 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb71e…641abacked Muhammad Shoaib | 44c | 54$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.75 | 337 | 51.9%175 W · 162 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88a9…e618backed Dakotah Bobo | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.57 | 925 | 54.8%507 W · 418 L | +15.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed Muhammad Shoaib | 45c | 52.66$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.7 | 901 | 52.3%471 W · 430 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee84…becbbacked Muhammad Shoaib | 29c | 37.24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 239 | 42.7%102 W · 137 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Dakotah Bobo | 55c | 35$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.84 | 1,794 | 60.2%1,080 W · 714 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd1…f311backed Dakotah Bobo | 62c | 32.42$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.42 | 255 | 51%130 W · 125 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Dakotah Bobo | 55c | 32.07$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.43 | 482 | 45.6%220 W · 262 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Muhammad Shoaib | 41c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 1,588 | 47%746 W · 842 L | -24.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18a7…206cbacked Muhammad Shoaib | 41c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 856 | 37.7%323 W · 533 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Dakotah Bobo | 56c | 22.38$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x604f…4941backed Dakotah Bobo | 60c | 20.88$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91c5…be94backed Dakotah Bobo | 56c | 20.11$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.85 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d10…b3d0backed Dakotah Bobo | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 821 | 59.4%488 W · 333 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.