Tennis · resolved market
ITF Astana: Ekaterina Tupitsyna vs Maria Sholokhova
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbf9c2111c807e78e80c8b8fee2e5d62da2a3a1c914d2165f005237a4b076fffe
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ekaterina Tupitsynaof Ekaterina Tupitsyna, Maria Sholokhova
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,655
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,742
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,655 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Maria Sholokhova | 54c | 1,649$883 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$883.08 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e2a…d25cbacked Maria Sholokhova | 31c | 1,613$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 135 | 49.6%67 W · 68 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Ekaterina Tupitsyna | 45c | 1,502$671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$831.08 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Ekaterina Tupitsyna | 64c | 1,206$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.14 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Ekaterina Tupitsyna | 58c | 922.98$535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.65 | 3,661 | 45.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Maria Sholokhova | 18c | 595.68$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.7 | 246 | 37.4%92 W · 154 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed Maria Sholokhova | 56c | 449.99$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252 | 921 | 45.2%416 W · 505 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc93…718bbacked Maria Sholokhova | 3c | 412.38$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.37 | 43 | 2.3%1 W · 42 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1852…cb4ebacked Maria Sholokhova | 50c | 347.94$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.67 | 118 | 38.1%45 W · 73 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0677…2a28backed Maria Sholokhova | 39c | 334.38$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.9 | 101 | 35.6%36 W · 65 L | -11.3wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -31%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Maria Sholokhova | 46c | 316.33$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.51 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Ekaterina Tupitsyna | 75c | 222.18$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.92 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Ekaterina Tupitsyna | 54c | 206$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.76 | 1,822 | 41%747 W · 1,075 L | -30.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d09…7fd6backed Maria Sholokhova | 29c | 175.15$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.44 | 106 | 27.4%29 W · 77 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc7d…2c2cbacked Maria Sholokhova | 42c | 165.69$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.78 | 108 | 29.6%32 W · 76 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Maria Sholokhova | 9c | 124.1$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.01 | 743 | 46.3%344 W · 399 L | -28.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Maria Sholokhova | 32c | 121.36$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.68 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Ekaterina Tupitsyna | 49c | 108.16$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.16 | 3,220 | 40.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd9…039bbacked Ekaterina Tupitsyna | 46c | 107.84$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.84 | 1,008 | 38.3%386 W · 622 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Ekaterina Tupitsyna | 49c | 104.08$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.08 | 3,424 | 39.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L | -12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f06…8ebebacked Ekaterina Tupitsyna | 54c | 103.86$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.86 | 205 | 53.7%110 W · 95 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e73…ac97backed Maria Sholokhova | 49c | 102.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 204 | 52.5%107 W · 97 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd6f…e043backed Ekaterina Tupitsyna | 50c | 94.4$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.2 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked Ekaterina Tupitsyna | 49c | 91.84$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.84 | 1,356 | 38.3%520 W · 836 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Ekaterina Tupitsyna | 49c | 87.76$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.76 | 2,151 | 37.3%802 W · 1,349 L | -27.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4eef…5275backed Ekaterina Tupitsyna | 77c | 77.94$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.93 | 363 | 78.2%284 W · 79 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 77cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a1e…f992backed Ekaterina Tupitsyna | 44c | 75$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 654 | 34.9%228 W · 426 L | -28.0wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Maria Sholokhova | 23c | 72.36$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.97 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Ekaterina Tupitsyna | 53c | 62.21$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.23 | 1,629 | 49%798 W · 831 L | -51.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d3e…986cbacked Maria Sholokhova | 49c | 54.97$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.94 | 636 | 48%305 W · 331 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0977…53ccbacked Ekaterina Tupitsyna | 52c | 48.92$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 225 | 47.1%106 W · 119 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe011…159fbacked Ekaterina Tupitsyna | 53c | 47.41$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.41 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Maria Sholokhova | 37c | 47.17$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.42 | 1,708 | 44.8%766 W · 942 L | -18.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x273d…fb63backed Ekaterina Tupitsyna | 67c | 42.66$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.97 | 143 | 55.2%79 W · 64 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Ekaterina Tupitsyna | 59c | 40.18$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.38 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…5bdfbacked Ekaterina Tupitsyna | 51c | 23.68$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.6 | 969 | 45.9%445 W · 524 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0182…301cbacked Ekaterina Tupitsyna | 80c | 16.25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.25 | 133 | 60.9%81 W · 52 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30e5…2300backed Ekaterina Tupitsyna | 72c | 14.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 55 | 89.1%49 W · 6 L | +9.3wins | +0.17per pick | 72cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.