Tennis · resolved market
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Juncheng Shang
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbfbcbe513c96a9e2eed5275d08a36cd01522fdae7b73ba2ad5b9699f7dc9fa91
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Shangof Kovacevic, Shang
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,255
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,596
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,255 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0b9b…211dbacked Shang | 70c | 2,420$1,703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$717.23 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -2.8wins | -0.13per pick | 61cpaid | -1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Shang | 66c | 1,500$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 192 | 41.1%79 W · 113 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Shang | 66c | 1,418$936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482.18 | 551 | 43.4%239 W · 312 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb852…bfaebacked Kovacevic | 34c | 1,286$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.3 | 296 | 34.1%101 W · 195 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Kovacevic | 29c | 1,247$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.58 | 627 | 42.4%266 W · 361 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Kovacevic | 41c | 674.15$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.56 | 819 | 38.9%319 W · 500 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e4…5bf6backed Shang | 70c | 668$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.4 | 206 | 53.4%110 W · 96 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48e3…c148backed Kovacevic | 28c | 600$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 157 | 24.8%39 W · 118 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Kovacevic | 34c | 588.24$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 731 | 47.9%350 W · 381 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Kovacevic | 25c | 567$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.56 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Kovacevic | 33c | 500$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 1,446 | 48.8%706 W · 740 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9354…6502backed Shang | 73c | 454.6$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.94 | 755 | 47.8%361 W · 394 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bee…ca01backed Kovacevic | 25c | 320$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.1 | 120 | 50%60 W · 60 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf575…e0ebbacked Kovacevic | 44c | 227.95$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 204 | 31.9%65 W · 139 L | -9.1wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Shang | 75c | 183.96$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.65 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5652…ff34backed Kovacevic | 12c | 150$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.7 | 121 | 34.7%42 W · 79 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7312…d40dbacked Kovacevic | 39c | 117.87$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.97 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -6.9wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa263…6cf0backed Shang | 57c | 105.26$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.26 | 175 | 38.3%67 W · 108 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3240…9172backed Kovacevic | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x420e…e3c9backed Shang | 66c | 89.98$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.59 | 122 | 56.6%69 W · 53 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…06c9backed Kovacevic | 49c | 81.63$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 260 | 45%117 W · 143 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Kovacevic | 34c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 629 | 52.1%328 W · 301 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc553…5928backed Kovacevic | 34c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 32cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Kovacevic | 34c | 32$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.88 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…7a56backed Shang | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 2,335 | 46.6%1,088 W · 1,247 L | +55.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.